Week 11 Michigan vs. Wisconsin College Football Picks & Trends Print
Written by Drew Sharper   
Saturday, 14 November 2009 03:24
NCAAF Headline News

Rich Rod under pressure

Rich Rodriguez is in desperate need of a win on Saturday when Michigan travels to No. 21 Wisconsin for a Noon ET kickoff with the Badgers from Camp Randall Stadium.

Bet Michigan at Wisconsin
Michigan is 5-5 this season and 4-5 against the spread. The Wolverines have lost three straight and trends show they have allowed 30 points in six of their 10 games. The road team has lost five of the last six meetings in this series.

The Badgers are 7-2 on the season and 3-5 against the spread. Wisconsin has won two straight but failed to cover in three of their last four games. Wisconsin has just one loss at home this season and the Badgers have scored at least 28 points in five of their six home games.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made Wisconsin 9-point home favorites over Michigan on Saturday afternoon The over/under total for this game has been established at 55.

Michigan and Wisconsin have comparable offensive numbers this year in terms of points and yards per-game, but the Wolverines have a much worse defense than the Badgers, and that is the key to making a pick in this game.

Wisconsin is giving up nearly 100 yards less per-game than Michigan and the point spread odds seem to reflect the Michigan name rather than its performance on the field this season. The Wolverines have yet to win on the road and have lost their last three by an average of 17.3 points per-game. Tate Forcier has thrown for just one touchdown in the last five games for Michigan, and he will likely struggle again against a tough Wisconsin defense.

Michigan appears to be continuing its downward spiral while Wisconsin is playing for a New Year’s Day bowl. For those reasons, we suggest a pick of Wisconsin to cover with the under 55.

Our College Football Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: WISCONSIN +9 and UNDER 55.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

WISCONSIN is 8-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1992

MICHIGAN is 8-4 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1992

7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons 

WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at WISCONSIN since 1992

WISCONSIN is 5-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1992

WISCONSIN is 3-3 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1992

4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons 

WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 11 College Football Injury Report
MICHIGAN

[C] 11/07/2009 - David Molk out for season ( Leg ) 

[CB] 10/28/2009 - Boubacar Cissoko dismissed from team ( Disciplinary ) 

[WR] 11/07/2009 - Martavious Odoms "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee ) 

[DL] 11/07/2009 - Greg Banks "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Foot ) 

[RB] 11/09/2009 - Brandon Minor injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Shoulder ) 

[RB] 11/12/2009 - Carlos Brown is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee ) 

[WR] 11/10/2009 - Junior Hemingway "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Back ) 

[OT] 11/12/2009 - Perry Dorrestein is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Back ) 

[QB] 11/10/2009 - Tate Forcier probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee ) 

WISCONSIN

[S] 09/06/2009 - Aubrey Pleasant out indefinitely ( Disciplinary ) 

[S] 09/06/2009 - Shane Carter suspended indefinitely ( Disciplinary ) 

[LB] 10/20/2009 - Mike Taylor out for season ( Knee ) 

[SS] 11/07/2009 - Kevin Claxton "?" Saturday vs. Michigan ( Concussion ) 

[RB] 11/09/2009 - John Clay is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Michigan ( Concussion ) 

[OL] 11/09/2009 - Josh Oglesby injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Michigan ( Knee ) 

[WR] 11/09/2009 - Maurice Moore out indefinitely ( Disciplinary ) 

[RB] 11/10/2009 - Erik Smith is upgraded to expected to play on special teams Saturday vs. Michigan ( Hand )
Michigan at Wisconsin Odds
Michigan Wolverines +9 Over 55 (+280)

Wisconsin Badgers -9 Under 55 (-360)
Bet Michigan at Wisconsin
Posted: 11/14/09 7:24AM ET

 

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