South Florida vs. Rutgers College Football Picks & Odds Week 11 Print
Written by Drew Sharper   
Thursday, 12 November 2009 04:00
NCAAF Headline News

USF-Rutgers Pick

Two teams still hoping to compete for the Big East title meet on Thursday when Rutgers hosts No. 23 South Florida at 7:30PM ET from Rutgers Stadium.

Bet South Florida at Rutgers
South Florida is 6-2 on the season and 3-3 against the spread. The Bulls ended a two-game losing streak last week with a 30-19 win over West Virginia. South Florida has won three road games this year, including wins at Syracuse and Florida State.

Rutgers has won three straight over the Bulls and are also 6-2 on the season and 3-5 against the spread. The Knights have won two straight games, but like South Florida, have been beaten by Cincinnati and Pittsburgh this season. Both of Rutgers losses have come at home.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made South Florida 1-point road favorites over Rutgers on Thursday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 45.5.

South Florida has the point spread odds in its favor, but Thursday’s matchup is pretty even. Both teams are posting about 30 points per-game on offense and giving up 17 points per-game on defense. The determining factor in this game could be Rutgers success against the Bulls.

The last meeting in Rutgers Stadium was a 30-27 win for the Knights over the then second-ranked Bulls. The Knights are defensively going to look to stop the running game and force South Florida quarterback B.J. Daniels to beat them. Daniels has completed just 52 percent of his passes and has 10 touchdowns with six interceptions while averaging only 137 passing yards per-game.

For South Florida, the Bulls have struggled against the run, so the Knights will have to rely on running back Joe Martinek to lead the way. Martinek has 601 yards and seven touchdowns in eight games. He is averaging five yards per-carry. If he is unable to get going, Tom Savage will have to step up. Savage is the better quarterback of the two teams and is capable of leading his team down the field.

Due to Rutgers having steadier quarterback play and both teams having such even statistics, the Knights seem like the better pick given the point spread odds have them getting a point at home. South Florida wants to run the ball and that plays into Rutgers strength. Trends show that the Knights have the edge in this series history and expect the same to continue on Thursday night.

Our College Football Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: RUTGERS +1 and UNDER 45.5.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

RUTGERS is 2-2 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992

RUTGERS is 3-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992

4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons 

RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at RUTGERS since 1992

RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992

RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons.

RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons 

RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 11 College Football Injury Report
S FLORIDA

[K] 09/15/2009 - Maikon Bonani out for season ( Back ) 

[QB] 09/20/2009 - Matt Grothe out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 10/30/2009 - Aston Samuels "?" Thursday vs. Rutgers ( Abdominal ) 

[CB] 11/09/2009 - Tyson Butler is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Rutgers ( Leg ) 

[LB] 10/30/2009 - Kion Wilson injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. Rutgers ( Thigh ) 

[WR] 11/09/2009 - Carlton Mitchell is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Rutgers ( Knee ) 

RUTGERS

[DE] 09/04/2009 - Gary Watts out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 09/10/2009 - Mason Robinson out for season ( Knee ) 

[LB] 10/31/2009 - Marcus Witherspoon "?" Thursday vs. South Florida ( Leg ) 

[OG] 10/31/2009 - Caleb Ruch "?" Thursday vs. South Florida ( Ankle ) 

[RT] 10/31/2009 - Desmond Stapleton "?" Thursday vs. South Florida ( Ankle ) 

[DB] 11/02/2009 - Khaseem Greene injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. South Florida ( Knee ) 

[DB] 11/02/2009 - Joe Lefeged injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. South Florida ( Undisclosed ) 

[FS] 11/10/2009 - Zaire Kitchen is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. South Florida ( Knee ) 
South Florida at Rutgers Odds
South Florida Bulls -1 Over 45.5 (-115)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights +1 Under 45.5 (-105)
Bet South Florida at Rutgers
Posted: 11/12/09 9:00AM ET

 

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