Louisville vs. South Florida Odds

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TAMPA, FL (The Spread) – No. 18 Louisville looks to bounce back from its first loss when it hits the road on Saturday to face South Florida at Noon ET on ESPN2.

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Louisville is 6-1 overall, 2-1 in the AAC, 2-0 on the road and 3-4 against the spread. South Florida is 2-4 overall, 2-0 in the AAC, 1-3 at home and 3-3 against the spread. Louisville has won two straight over USF.

Trends show that the road team has covered in four straight between these two and the underdog has covered in five straight meetings. These two have also hit the over in 4 of their last 5 meetings at USF.

According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Louisville is the favorite on the road, as the Cardinals have odds of -20 points against South Florida on Saturday. The over/under total for the game has been set at 46.5 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had Louisville favored by 20.5 points. The spread dropped to a low of 19 before making its way back to 20. The over/under total hasn’t changed since opening at 46.5 points.

Louisville is coming off a 38-35 loss to Central Florida last week. The Cardinals held a 28-7 lead in a second half but saw that disappear. Louisville had 445 yards of offense, but allowed 446 yards to UCF. The Cardinals are still scoring 40.1 points per game this year while giving up just 11.7 points per contest. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 2,213 yards and 20 touchdowns this season while Senorise Perry has added 420 rushing yards with five scores.

South Florida started the year 0-4, but has since won two straight, including a 13-10 win at Connecticut two weeks ago. The Bulls are still averaging just 16.2 points per game offensively, while allowing 30.2 points per game on defense. The offense is being led by Marcus Shaw, who has rushed for 552 yards and two touchdowns. USF has bounced around quarterbacks and doesn’t have a receiver that has more than 270 yards for the season.

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In terms of Injuries, Louisville linebacker Keith Brown is questionable with a knee injury. South Florida offensive lineman Thor Jozwiak (heart) and tight end Tye Turner (neck) are both questionable.

The Public Bets for this game are currently backing Louisville, as the Cardinals are getting 73% of the wagers with odds of -20 points at South Florida on Saturday.

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