Wake Forest vs. Florida St. Prediction
After a mediocre start to the 2018 season, can Florida State handle being a double-digit favorite at home when the Seminoles host Wake Forest on Saturday at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
373 Wake Forest at 374 Florida State
Saturday, October 20, 2018
3:30PM ET – Doak Campbell Stadium
TV: ESPN2
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Florida State is the favorite at home, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -10.5 points against Wake Forest. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 60 points. The public betting for this game currently has 55 percent going on Wake Forest on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Wake Forest hammered by Clemson
Wake Forest lost for the third time in four games in a 63-3 thrashing by Clemson two weeks ago. The Demon Deacons are now 3-3 overall, 0-2 in the ACC, 1-5 against the spread and 5-1 with the over.
The Demon Deacons are struggling on defense this year. Following the loss to Clemson, Wake is now giving up 36.8 points and 500.7 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing 236.5 yards per game. On offense, Wake Forest is averaging 32.3 points and 447.8 yards per game. Their ground game is putting up 232.8 yards per contest. Four different players have 200 rushing yards or more. Cade Carney is leading the pack with 446 yards. Quarterback Sam Hartman has thrown for 1,259 yards and 10 touchdowns while rushing for 200 yards. Greg Dortch has been his top target with 48 catches for 592 yards and five touchdowns.
Seminoles blow lead at Miami
Florida State had a chance for a marquee win at Miami two weeks ago, but blew a 27-7 lead and lost 28-27 to snap a two-game win streak. FSU is now 3-3 overall, 1-3 in the ACC, 2-4 against the spread and 4-2 with the over.
The issues for FSU this season haven’t been too much on the defense, as it is allowing just 25.2 points and 372.2 yards per game. The problem has been on offense. The Seminoles are putting up just 23 points and 344 yards per game. The run game has struggled, averaging just 92.8 yards per contest. Cam Akers is the leading rusher with just 362 yards on 88 carries. Deondre Francois hasn’t been too bad, throwing for 1,506 yards with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. He is dealing with an undisclosed injury that currently has him listed as questionable for this game.
College Football Betting Trends
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is just 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six following a loss of more than 20 points.
Florida State
Florida State is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games on grass but just 1-9-2 ATS in its last 12 ACC games.
Prediction:
Florida State has won six straight meetings with Wake Forest, but the Seminoles haven’t covered the spread in the last three meetings as each has been a real defensive battle. Given FSU hasn’t been playing very well this season, it’s hard to trust them to cover a 10.5-point spread. If Francois is unable to play, I definitely don’t feel good about it. But, I think Francois will play and Wake Forest hasn’t been on the road since its opener on Aug. 30. That should create some problems for the Deacons. FSU can find a way to score on this defense while its defense should make enough plays to keep Wake out of reach.
College Football Prediction: Florida State -10.5