NCAA Football Odds & Trends: Week 6 Picks Alabama at Mississippi Print
Saturday, 10 October 2009 08:30
NCAAF Headline News

Conference Battle

No. 20 Mississippi had its national title hopes spoiled two weeks ago, and Saturday, the Rebels will look to return to the favor to No. 3 Alabama, when they host the Crimson Tide at 3:30PM ET from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

Bet Alabama at Mississippi

The Rebels were a top 5 program two weeks ago when they traveled to South Carolina, but a 16-10 loss to the Gamecocks took Ole Miss out of the BCS title picture. Ole Miss still can win the SEC this season though, but needs a win over Alabama today to make that happen. Mississippi is playing at home for just the second time this season, with the last meeting a 52-6 win over Southeastern Louisiana. The last two home meetings with Alabama have both been 3-point losses for the Rebels. Jevan Snead came into the season with some Heisman hype as Ole Miss’ quarterback, but Snead has thrown for just 728 yards and nine touchdowns with five interceptions through four games. Brandon Bolden has led the Rebels on the ground with 297 yards while Shay Hodge has 17 receptions for 269 yards and three touchdowns. The Rebels rank in the bottom half of the SEC in most offensive categories, except for average points per-game. On defense, the Rebels are second in the SEC for fewest points allowed.

When it comes to defense, Alabama may have the best in the country. The Tide are allowing just 222 yards per-game, which is second in the nation. The Tide have the seventh best rush defense in the country, allowing just 322 yards on the ground. What makes those numbers even more impressive is that the Tide have face talented offenses like Virginia Tech, Arkansas, and Florida International. Alabama has improved offensively as well, as Greg McElroy has been a competent quarterback, throwing for 1,086 yards and nine touchdowns with just one interception. On the ground, the Tide are led by Mark Ingram, who has 487 yards and six touchdowns, while Trent Richardson has 306 yards and four scores.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made Alabama 5-point road favorites over Mississippi on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 45.

College Football Week 6 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

ALABAMA is 9-8 against the spread versus OLE MISS since 1992

ALABAMA is 15-2 straight up against OLE MISS since 1992

7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons 

ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at OLE MISS since 1992

OLE MISS is 5-3 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1992

ALABAMA is 6-2 straight up against OLE MISS since 1992

3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons.

OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons 

ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

ALABAMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA: 5-1 ATS off ATS win as DD favorite

OLE MISS: 7-3 Under off road game

Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi

Alabama is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Mississippi

Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Mississippi is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Week 6 College Football Injury Report
ALABAMA

[LB] 10/03/2009 - Jerrell Harris "?" ( Eligibility ) 

[DE] 09/14/2009 - Damion Square out for season ( ACL ) 

[LB] 09/28/2009 - Dont'a Hightower out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 09/29/2009 - Jeramie Griffin out for season ( Knee ) 

OLE MISS

[DT] 09/03/2009 - Justin Smith out indefinitely ( Foot ) 

[FB] 10/03/2009 - Andy Hartmann "?" ( Leg ) 

[LB] 10/03/2009 - D T Shackelford "?" ( Ankle ) 

[LB] 10/03/2009 - Lamar Brumfield "?" ( Foot )

Alabama at Mississippi Current Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide -5 Over 45 (-220)

Mississippi Rebels +5 Under 45 (+180)

Player Props:

Total receptions for Marquis Maze ( ALA): Over/Under 1.5

Total receptions for Colin Peek ( ALA): Over/Under 2.5

Total completions for Greg McElroy ( ALA): Over/Under 16.5

Total passing touchdowns + interceptions for McElroy: Over/Under 2.5

Total rushing yards for Mark Ingram ( ALA): Over/Under 90.5

Total receptions for Ingram: Over/Under 2.5

Total rushing attempts for Trent Richardson ( ALA): Over/Under 7.5

Total pass attempts for Jevan Snead (MISS): Over/Under 29.5

Total touchdown passes for Snead: Over/Under 1.5

Total rushing yards for Brandon Bolden (MISS): Over/Under 56.5

Total rushing attempts for Dexter McCluster (MISS): Over/Under 9.5

Total receptions for McCluster: Over/Under 2.5

Total receiving yards for Shay Hodge (MISS): Over/Under 60.5

Bet Alabama at Mississippi

Posted: 10/10/09 1:30PM ET 

 

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