Kentucky vs. Florida Pick
No. 9 Florida is giving up just 14 points in Week 4 when it hosts Kentucky. Can the Gators find the offense to cover? Read on to check out our free pick for this game.
Before we hand out our free pick for this contest, let’s take a look at the odds.
Florida is a 14-point favorite at home against Kentucky according to oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com. The over/under has been set at 50.5.
The Gators have been stellar on defense, holding opponents to 276 yards per game and 92 rushing yards per game, but Florida has struggled offensively, racking up just 150 passing yards per game. Kentucky has been solid in its 3-0 start, amassing nearly 500 yards of offense per game while holding opponents to 257 yards per game, including just 109 passing yards per game. Now, those Kentucky numbers are inflated as they have faced weak competition, but Florida has faced the best competition either. The key to this game will be Florida having the overall stronger defense while being able to still run the ball effectively.
Some trends to consider for this pick: Trends favor the Gators as they are 6-1 against the spread as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2008 and 12-7 ATS against conference opponents in that time period. Kentucky is just 7-9 ATS against conference opponents since 2008.
OUR COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PICK: FLORIDA -14