Toledo vs. Florida Pick

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GAINESVILLE, FL (The Spread) – No. 10 Florida opens the season at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium against Toledo on Saturday at 12:21PM ET on ESPN3.

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Florida is coming off an 11-2 season in which it went 7-6 against the spread. Toledo went 9-4 in the 2012 season and the Rockets were 7-6 against the spread. This is the first meeting between these two programs.

Odds: The oddsmakers from Bovada.lv have Florida as the favorite at home, as the Gators have odds of -23.5 points against Toledo. The over/under total for the game has been set at 56.5 points

Line Movement: The opening odds for this game had Florida with a point spread of -22.5 against Toledo. The spread hit a peak of 24 points before holding at Florida -23.5. The over/under total opened at its current mark of 56.5 points. It hit a peak of 58 points before falling back to 56.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 53% are going on Florida with odds of -23.5 points against Toledo. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take the road team. According to latest college football trends, Florida is 2-6 against the spread in its last 8 games against Mid-American Conference opponents and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games. Toledo is also 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on grass. Florida will win this game, but the Gators aren’t quite the offensive power you’d expect them to be. They averaged just 26.5 points per game last season, and that includes just a 27-point effort at home against Bowling Green. Toledo may be a MAC program, but it has been a solid MAC program over recent seasons and that is largely due to its talented offense. The Rockets may struggle on defense, but it should be able to find a way to score enough to cover this lofty spread.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: TOLEDO +23.5

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