New Mexico State vs. Texas Odds
Texas is coming off a 9-4 record in 2012 in which the Longhorns were 6-7 against the spread. New Mexico State was just 1-11 last year and went 4-8 against the spread. These two haven’t met since the 2003 season, where Texas picked up a 66-7 victory.
Trends show that Texas is 5-1 against the spread in its last 6 non-conference games while New Mexico State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games and 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Big 12 opponents.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Texas is the heavy favorite to win this game, as the Longhorns have a point spread of -42 against New Mexico State. The over/under odds have been set at 58 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had Texas favored by 42 points as well. The point spread dropped to 41.5 points at one point before climbing back up to 42. The over/under total opened at 56.5 points and was never lower than that, hitting its peak of 58 points.
Texas enters this season with a lot of experience, as the team returns 20 starters from the 2012 team. On offense, 10 starters are back, including the entire offensive line, which should help quarterback David Ash. Ash threw for 2,699 yards and 19 touchdowns last season. Also back is sophomore running back Johnathan Gray who is capable of rushing for 1,000 yards. Defensively, Texas will need to improve, and it should. The Longhorns allowed 29.2 points and 404 yards per game last year. This year’s defense has nine starters back, which should lead to improved numbers. Steve Edmond will lead the unit. The junior linebacker had 103 tackles last season.
New Mexico State should improve, but it is hard not to from a 1-11 record. The Aggies have a new coach in Doug Martin. He inherits a team that has 15 starters back. On offense, the Aggies will be putting in a new quarterback, but he will have receiver Austin Franklin to throw to. Franklin had 1,245 yards receiving on 74 catches last season. Also back for the Aggies is running back Germi Morrison, who rushed for 767 yards in 2012. On defense, the Aggies gave up 39.4 points and 476 yards per game. The defense brings back its top four tacklers from last season. Leading the unit is safety David Cazares, who had 116 tackles and three sacks in 2012.
In terms of Injuries, New Mexico State comes into the game healthy. Texas receiver Jaxon Shipley and safety Josh Turner are both questionable with a hip injury.
The Public Bets for this game are backing Texas, as the Longhorns are getting 70% of the wagers with point spread odds of -42 against New Mexico State.