Nevada vs. UCLA Odds
UCLA is coming off a 9-5 season last year while going 8-6 against the spread. Nevada was 7-6 in 2012, but went just 4-8-1 against the spread. This is the first meeting between these two programs.
Trends show that Nevada is just 4-11-1 against the spread in its last 16 non-conference games and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 road games. UCLA comes into the game 10-3 against the spread in its last 13 games against Mountain West opponents.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, UCLA is the clear favorite at home, as the Bruins have odds of -21 points against the Wolf pack. The over/under total for the game has been set at 66.5 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had UCLA favored by just 18 points. The spread was never lower than that. It peaked at 21.5 points before closing at UCLA -21. The over/under total opened at 66 points and hasn’t moved much, simply adding the ½ point.
Jim Mora Jr. had a strong first impression with the Bruins, leading the team to a 9-5 record and an appearance in the Pac-12 title game. This year’s squad has 13 starters back, including seven on offense. The Bruins will be led by sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley, who threw for 3,740 yards and 29 touchdowns in 2012. Hundley has his top target back in Shaquelle Evans, and he also has four starters back on the offensive line. Defensively, UCLA allowed over 415 yards per game, which needs to improve. That could be difficult considering UCLA loses its entire starting secondary from 2012. Despite that, two key defenders are back. Linebacker Eric Kendricks had 150 tackles last season and outside linebacker Anthony Barr had 13.5 sacks for UCLA last season.
Nevada has a new head coach in Brian Polian. He takes over a program that has won at least seven games the last five seasons. This year’s team has just 12 starters back from the 2012 team, but one that is back is quarterback Cody Fajardo, who threw for 2,786 yards and 20 touchdowns while rushing for 1,121 yards and 12 scores last season. Fajardo has four of his top five receiving targets back this season, but loses three starters on the offensive line and 1,800-yard rusher Stefphon Jefferson. Defensively, Nevada gave up 33.8 points and 442 yards per game in 2012. The Wolf Pack have a lot of inexperience on defense, as the five returning starters didn’t produce much for the group.
In terms of Injuries, Nevada has none to report while UCLA lists defensive end Owamgbe Odighizuwa is out for the season with a hip injury.
The Public Bets for this game are currently split 50-50 with UCLA getting odds of -21 points at home against Nevada.