Toledo vs. Florida Odds
Florida is coming off an 11-2 season in which it went 7-6 against the spread. Toledo went 9-4 in the 2012 season and the Rockets were 7-6 against the spread. This is the first meeting between these two programs.
Trends show that Toledo is 4-1 against the point spread in its last 5 games on grass. Florida is just 2-6 against the spread in its last 8 games against Mid-American Conference opponents and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 non-conference games.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Florida is the favorite at home, as the Gators have odds of -23.5 points against Toledo. The over/under total for the game has been set at 56.5 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had Florida with a point spread of -22.5 against Toledo. The spread hit a peak of 24 points before holding at Florida -23.5. The over/under total opened at its current mark of 56.5 points. It hit a peak of 58 points before falling back to 56.5.
Florida is looking to build off its 11-2 record a year ago. The offense struggled last season despite the record, averaging just 26.5 points and 334 yards per game. The unit has six starters back from last season, led by quarterback Jeff Driskel. He threw for 1,646 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2012, but will have to gel with new receivers as Florida loses three of its top four targets. The Gators also will be working in a new set of running backs, many of which don’t have much experience. The Florida defense was outstanding last season, averaging just 14.5 points allowed per game. The defense has just four starters back, but they should still be strong in the secondary. The group is led by Marcus Roberson, who had 12 pass breakups in 2012.
Toledo is coming off a 9-4 record last year, which was its second-straight 9-4 season. The Rockets bring back 15 starters this year, including nine from an offense that averaged 31.5 points and 445 yards per game last season. Terrance Owens is back to lead the offense after throwing for 2,707 yards and 14 touchdowns. David Fluellen is also back in the backfield after rushing for 1,498 yards and receiver Bernard Reedy returns after catching 88 passes for 1,113 yards. Toledo also has four starters back on the offensive line, which makes it a very dangerous group. Where the Rockets could struggle is defense, as it allowed 28.4 points and 473 yards per game in 2012. The defense has only four starters back, none of which earned all-conference honors.
In terms of Injuries, Toledo has no injuries listed. Florida offensive lineman Jon Halapio is out with a pectoral injury while running back Matt Jones is out with a virus.
The Public Bets for this game are currently backing Florida, as the Gators are getting 58% of the wagers with point spread odds of -23.5 against Toledo.