Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt


NASHVILLE, TN (The Spread) – A pair of SEC teams collide Thursday night on ESPN as Vanderbilt hosts Ole Miss at 9:15PM ET.

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Ole Miss is coming off a 7-6 record in 2012 and the Rebels went 10-3 against the spread. Vanderbilt was 9-4 overall last season and 9-4 against the spread. Vanderbilt has won and covered in five of its last six meetings with Ole Miss.

Trends show that Vanderbilt is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 games against Ole Miss and the two teams have hit the under in 6 of their last 7 meetings. Vanderbilt is also 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home.

According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Ole Miss is the favorite on the road, as the Rebels have odds of -3.5 points against Vanderbilt. The over/under total for the game has been set at 53 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had Ole Miss favored by 2.5 points. The spread hit a low of 2 points before climbing up to a peak of Ole Miss -3.5. The over/under total opened at 54 points. The total was never higher than that and is currently at its low of 53.

Vanderbilt had its best season in some time, going 9-4 last year, which included a bowl victory. This year’s team has 14 starters back, including seven on offense. The Commodores will have a new quarterback to work and a new starting running back, but the team does have a stud receiver in Jordan Matthews, who caught 94 passes for 1,323 yards and eight touchdowns in 2012. Vanderbilt was led by its defense in 2012, as the Commodores allowed just 18.7 points and 334 yards per game. This year’s unit has six starters back, led by linebacker Chase Garnham, who had 84 tackles and seven sacks last season. Also back is senior cornerback, who had 14 pass deflections in 2012.

Ole Miss had a winning season under first-year coach Hugh Freeze in 2012. The Rebels return 19 starters from that team, which is why expectations are high. On offense, Ole Miss averaged 31.5 points and 424 yards per game in 2012. Back is quarterback Bo Wallace, who threw for 2,994 yards and 22 touchdowns a year ago while also rushing for 390 yards. Also back is leading rusher Jeff Scott along with the top three receivers from 2012. The Rebels also have four starters back on the offensive line. When it comes to defense, Ole Miss has 10 starters back. The unit will be led by linebacker Denzel Nkemdiche, who had 82 tackles, 10 tackles for loss and three interceptions last season.

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In terms of Injuries, Ole Miss running back I’Tavius Mathers is questionable with an ankle injury and tight end Christian Morgan is questionable with a knee injury. Vanderbilt receiver Chris Boyd is suspended for this game.

The Public Bets for this game are currently backing Ole Miss, as the Rebels are getting 65% of the wagers with odds of -3.5 points against Vanderbilt.

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