Sugar Bowl Odds
Florida is 11-1 on the season and 7-5 against the spread while Louisville is 10-2 overall and 5-7 against the spread. The Cardinals have hit the over in 6 of 11 lined games while the Gators have hit the under in 7 of 11 lined games. These two last met in 1992 with Florida winning 31-17.
Trends show that Florida is 4-0 against the spread in its last 4 bowl games and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at a neutral site. Louisville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games following a win and 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a cover.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Florida is the clear favorite in this game, as the Gators have odds of -14 points against Louisville. The over/under total for the game has been set 45.5 points. (View Matchup) The opening odds for this bowl game had Florida favored by 15 points. The spread hit a peak of 15.5 and a low of 13.5 before closing at Florida -14.
Florida ended its regular season with a 37-26 win over Florida State. The Gators won their last four games of the season and their lone loss was 17-9 to Georgia. Florida comes into this contest ranking third in the nation in defensive scoring, allowing only 12.9 points per game. The offense has struggled during the year, as they rank 76th in scoring (26.8 ppg) and 118th in passing yards (143.9 pg). The team is being led by running back Mike Gillislee, who has rushed for 1,104 yards and 10 touchdowns this season.
Louisville is coming off a 20-17 win over Rutgers to win a share of the Big East title this season. The Cardinals had lost their previous two games to Syracuse and Connecticut before beating Rutgers. Louisville comes into the game averaging 31 points per game on offense and allowing just 23.8 points per game on defense. Louisville is being led by quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who has thrown for 3,452 yards and 25 touchdowns.
In terms of Injuries, Florida linebacker Jelani Jenkins is expected to miss this game with a foot injury while defensive back Loucheiz Purifoy is questionable with a shoulder injury. Louisville running back Senorise Perry is out with a knee injury while receiver Charles Gaines is doubtful with an undisclosed injury.
The Public Bets for this bowl game are backing Florida. The Gators are getting 65% of the wagers with odds of -14 points against Louisville on Wednesday night.