Tostitos Fiesta Bowl Odds
Both teams went 11-1 this season. Central Florida was 7-5 against the spread and hit the under eight times. Baylor went 9-3 against the spread and hit the over seven times.
Trends show that Central Florida is just 1-4 against the spread in its last 5 games while Baylor is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games after a win and 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games against a team with a winning record.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Baylor is the clear favorite to win, as the Bears have odds of -16.5 points against Central Florida. The over/under total for the game has been set at 70.5 points (View Matchup). The opening odds for this game had Baylor favored by 17 points. The spread dipped to 16 before moving up to 16.5. The over/under total opened at 68 points and slowly climbed up to 70.5 points.
Baylor is coming off a 30-10 win over Texas to lock up the Big 12 Championship with an 8-1 conference record. The Bears led the nation in scoring this year, averaging 53.3 points per game to go along with an average of 624.5 yards per game. The Baylor defense wasn’t too bad, too, as the Bears gave up just 21.2 points per game. Bryce Petty has thrown for 3,844 yards and 30 touchdowns this season while Lache Seastrunk has 1,060 rushing yards and 11 scores. Antwan Goodley has added 67 receptions for 1,319 yards and 13 scores.
Central Florida is coming off a 17-13 win over SMU to go 8-0 in AAC play this year and win the conference title. The Knights have won their last eight games. UCF allowed just 19.6 points per game this season, while the offense averaged 33.2 points and 432 yards per game. Blake Bortles has thrown for 3,280 yards and 22 touchdowns to lead UCF, while Storm Johnson added 1,015 rushing yards and 11 scores.
In terms of Injuries, Baylor linebacker Bryce Hager (groin) is questionable for the game while receiver Tevin Reese (wrist) is probable. UCF defensive lineman Seyvon Lowry (leg) is also questionable.
The Public Bets for this game are currently backing Baylor, as the Bears are getting 65% of the wagers with odds of -16.5 points against Central Florida on Wednesday night.