Kentucky vs. Duke Free Pick
ATLANTA, GA (ATS Consultants) - These teams have not played since 2001. Kentucky was tested by Maryland in their opener at Brooklyn, winning, 72-69, but failing to cover the 10.5. Duke won their home opener against Georgia State on Friday, 74-55, also failing to cover (19.5). Duke faces Kentucky from the Georgia Dome at 9:30pm in the Star Farm Champions Classic.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Blue Devils opened as a 1-point favorite and moved to 3.5 in most books. The total opened at 139.5 and moved to 140 in most books.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Duke. According to the latest college basketball trends, the Wildcats are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss, 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games and are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Atlantic Coast. Both teams have talent and tradition. Experience is a big factor and showed on Friday night when Kentucky nearly fell to Maryland andgave up 26 offensive rebounds. Duke will have that edge led by seniors Mason Plumlee and Ryan Kelly. Plumlee had 19 points and 14 rebounds against Georgia State in their opener. The Wildcats' inexperienced frontcourt, anchored by freshman center Nerlens Noel, was outrebounded 54-38 in the opener. It also appears that Kentucky starting guard Ryan Harrow will not play due to the flu. That means former walk-on Jarrod Polson will likely make his first start against a talented backcourt led by Seth Curry, Rasheed Sulaimon and Quinn Cook. Duke's experience up front will help lead them to the neutral court cover.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: DUKE BLUE DEVILS -3.5