Louisville vs. Duke Free Pick

march madness elite eight predictions odds trends point spreads louisville duke

INDIANAPOLIS, IN (ATS Consultants)Louisville and Duke will meet for the first time since the 1986 National Championship game when the two teams square off in the Elite Eight tonight at 5:05PM ET.

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ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Louisville are 3.5-point favorites over Duke, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 138 points. The Blue Devils are 30-5 overall while the Cardinals are 32-5 on the year.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Cardinals opened as 3.5-point favorites and that's where the current line sits, although some online books list the spread at 4. As for the total, it opened at 134 and has been bet up to 138.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 61% of college basketball public bettors currently favor the Cardinals. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

MARCH MADNESS FREE PICK: Take Louisville. According to latest college basketball trends, Duke is: 5-14-1 ATS last 20 vs. Big East. Louisville is: 9-1 ATS last 10 overall, 19-7 ATS last 26 Sunday games, 19-7 ATS last 26 neutral site games and 7-1 ATS last 8 NCAA Tournament games.

No. 1 Louisville Cardinals (30-5 SU, 19-16 ATS) has won 13 straight games including a 77-69 win over Oregon on Friday, giving 10.5. They controlled the game the entire way, shooting 54 percent from the field but couldn't pull away because they shot just 4-of-13 (31 percent) from beyond the arc. #2 Duke Blue Devils (30-5 SU, 19-16 ATS) got to the Elite Eight by defeating Michigan State, 71-61, giving 2 on Friday night. Duke couldn't play any better than they did against Michigan State, as they turned the ball over just seven times and shot 24-of-26 from the foul line (92.3 percent). Duke won the first matchup from the Bahamas, as center Mason Plumlee dominated the paint with 16 points and seven rebounds. Louisville was also playing without center Gorgui Deng (6-11, 245), who was injured. Louisville has the quicker guards led by Russ Smith (6-1, 165) and Peyton Siva (6-0, 185). Sophomore Kevin Ware (6-2, 175) comes in to provide energy. Offensively, they are much quicker than the Duke guards and that provides a dilemma for Coach K. Smith was outstanding against Oregon with 31 points on 9-of-16 shooting from the field, but Siva played just 19 minutes and scored only four points due to foul trouble. Dieng controlled the paint with 10 points, nine rebounds and four blocks. He provides height and Wayne Blackshear (6-5, 230) and Chase Behanan (6-6, 250) are valuable players who are physical and provide scoring and rebounding. Louisville will swarm all over Duke's guards and force a quicker pace than Michigan State did.

2013 MARCH MADESS ELITE EIGHT FREE PICK: LOUISVILLE CARDINALS -3.5

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