Kentucky vs. Louisville Free Pick

Louisville Kentucky 2014 March Madness odds NCAA Tournament

INDIANAPOLIS, IN (The Spread) – Kentucky and Louisville will square off tonight in the most anticipated Sweet 16 matchup of the year. Will the Cardinals cover?

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ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Cardinals as a 4.5-point favorite over Kentucky, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 139 points. Kentucky enters play with a 26-10 record and is 5-3 on neutral floors this season, while Louisville is 31-5 overall and 6-1 at neutral sites.

LINE MOVEMENT: Kentucky opened as a 5.5-point underdog but the spread has been bet down to 4.5 or 4, depending on which sports book you view. As for the total, it opened at 137 and has been bet up to 138.5 or 139 depending on the book.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 53% of college basketball public bettors currently favor Louisville. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

NCAA FREE PICK: Take Louisville. According to the latest college basketball trends, the Cardinals are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games. They’re also 22-7 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games, 18-8 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following an ATS win. Most believe that this will be a close game and while Kentucky is certainly capable of hanging with Louisville and making a run at a Final Four appearance, the Cardinals have been the more consistent team and I like them to pull through in the end.

2014 NCAA TOURNAMENT FREE PICK: LOUISVILLE CARDINALS -4.5

 

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