VCU vs. Michigan Free Pick

2013 march madness predictions odds trends vcu vs michigan

AUBURN HILLS, MI (ATS Consultants) – The third round of the 2013 March Madness tournament kicks off today with a 4-5 matchup between VCU and Michigan. Will VCU pull off the small upset?

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ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book have installed Michigan as a 3.5-point favorite over VCU for tonight’s game, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 144 points. The Wolverines are 27-7 overall while the Rams are 27-8 on the year.

LINE MOVEMENT: Michigan opened as a 2.5-point favorite but the spread has been bet up to 3.5 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 142.5 and is now up to 143.5 or 144 depending on what book you view.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 58% of college basketball public bettors currently favor the Rams. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

MARCH MADNESS FREE PICK: Take VCU. According to latest college basketball trends, VCU is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games,  9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Michigan is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall,  2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record,  1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win,  1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

#5 VCU (27-8 SU, 11-17 ATS) is coming off a 46-point win over Akron on Thursday, 88-42 as a 7.5-point betting odds favorite. #4 Michigan (27-7 SU, 15-16-1 ATS) defeated South Dakota State, 71-56 on Thursday, giving 11.5. The Rams lack star power. They don't have two sons of former great pro basketball players like Michigan does. They don't have an sure-fire NBA player like Michigan does. What VCU has is swarming defense that forces 19.9 turnovers per game. In VCU's 27 wins, they have forced 22 turnovers per game. Sure, Michigan is playing about 50 minutes away from their campus in Ann Arbor, but that won't stop the VCU havoc. Michigan doesn't turn it over a lot but they did commit 16 against Michigan State in a 75-52 loss on Feb. 12. Troy Daniels had 23 points and Juvonte Reddic (6-9, 235) had 21 in teir win over Akron. The Rams can score at will, as they average 78 points per game. Treveon Graham leads the Rams with 15.2 points and 5.9 rebounds. The Rams, not surprisingly, lead the nation in steal with 11.8 per game.  Expect the Rams to force the ball out of point guard Trey Burke's hands and that will lead to turnovers from Michigan's other players.


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