Long Beach State vs. Baylor Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed Baylor as 12-point favorites versus Long Beach State, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 149.5. Long Beach State is 19-13 overall while the Bears are 18-14 on the year.
LINE MOVEMENT: Baylor opened as 13-point favorites over Long Beach State, but the spread has been bet down to 12 points at most sports books. (Some places list the spread at 12.5.) As for the total, it opened at 141 but has been bet up to 149, 149.5 or 150 depending on what book you view.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 53% of college basketball public bettors currently favor Baylor. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Long Beach State. According to the latest college basketball trends, Long Beach State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. Baylor is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games.
The Baylor Bears (18-14 SU, 13-14 ATS) are coming off a 74-73 loss to Oklahoma State at the Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals. Long Beach State made the NCAA Tournament last year and the NIT the season before. This year’s 49ers squad won the Big West regular season championship by going 14-4 so they earned the automatic berth after losing in the Big West Conference tournament. Long Beach State has played teams from major conferences including USC, North Carolina, Arizona, Ohio State, Syracuse, and UCLA all during the non-conference play. Their best non-conference win was over Fresno State, 69-61 on the road. They take on a Baylor team that has to be disappointed that they aren't in the NCAA Tournament, because they have one of the most talented rosters not in the Big Dance. Losses at home to College of Charleston and Northwestern didn't help their cause. Another trip to the NIT Final Four is not a major goal so expect the 49ers, led by 6-foot-7 guard James Ennis (16.7 ppg), to give the Bears a tough game and cover the big number on the road.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: LONG BEACH STATE +12