Bulls vs. Rockets Prediction
Last game: (Nov. 21) HOUSTON (-1) over Chicago, 93-89. Houston (14-12 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 14-12 O/U) are coming off an impressive win over Memphis at home on Saturday, 121-96, giving 1. They've won three in a row, while Chicago (15-11 SU, 10-16 ATS, 9-17 O/U) are coming off a 92-75 loss on Saturday at Atlanta, getting 4. That was second of a back-to-back as they just knocked off the Knicks the night before.
LINE MOVEMENT: Chicago opened as a 4-point favorite and moved to 4.5 in most books. The total started at 198 and moved to 197 at most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 58% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Rockets. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Chicago. According to latest NBA trends, Houston is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and are 45-20-2 ATS in their last 67 games following a S.U. loss.
Houston has struggled on the road, going just 3-6-1 ATS this year. Before defeating the Knicks on Dec. 17. the Rockets had lost seven straight SU. The Rockets are the youngest team in the NBA and are a bad matchup for the oldest team-the Knicks. Chicago forced 23 turnovers in the first meeting against the Rockets on Nov. 21, but Chicago shot just 11 of 19 from the line and 2 of 16 (13%) from beyond the arc. The Bulls are led by Luol Deng, who averages 17.8ppg and is third in rebounds with 7.1rpg. Carlos Boozer is second in points and rebounds with 14ppg and 9.4rpg. Joakim Noah leads the Bulls with 10.6 rebounds per game. The Bulls have the lead over the Rockets in the frontcourt, while Marco Belinelli has improved their backcourt play, averaging nearly 10ppg. In his last 10 games, he's averaging 16ppg. Chicago's defense is also the difference as they allow just 91ppg,while Houston allows 103.4ppg. They know how to slow down fast-break teams as they are allowing just 12.5 fast break points per game and also owns the NBA's second-best scoring defense (88.3 per game) at home.
2012 NBA FREE PICK: CHICAGO BULLS –4.5