Lakers vs. Mavericks Free Pick
Dallas (7-6 SU, 5-8 ATS) is coming off a 114-111 win over the NY Knicks, getting 3.5. The Lakers visit the American Airlines Center on Saturday at 8:30pm to play Dallas. Last game: Dallas (+8.5) over LA Lakers, 99-91, 10/30/12.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Lakers opened as an 1-point favorite and moved to 1.5 in most books. The total started at 209 and moved to 208 at most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 87% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Lakers. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Lakers. According to latest NBA trends, the road team is 4-1 ATS L5 in series. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Pacific, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games..The Lakers have struggled on the road lately but they should bounce back from last night's loss against a team they match up well against. Even though Dallas beat the Knicks on Wednesday, this is the same team that lost at home to Golden State two days earlier. Dallas doesn't match up as well with the Lakers frontcout. Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard combined for just 13 points in the Memphis game (which included Pau's brother Marc). Dallas has Chris Kaman and Elton Brand, who aren't as big as Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. Dallas also gives up 100.6 points per game. This is the great situation for Mike D'Antoni and the Lakers to get their first road win.
2012 NBA FREE PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS –1.5