Heat vs. Spurs Game 5 Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Heat as 1.5-point favorites over the Spurs, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 188 points. This series is currently tied at two games apiece after Miami took Game 4.
LINE MOVEMENT: This game opened as a pick'em but the Heat are now 1.5-point favorites at most online and Las Vegas sports books, while the total opened at 187 and is now 188.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 54% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Heat. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take San Antonio. According to latest NBA trends, Miami is 0-7 ATS last 7 following a SU win and 0-5 ATS last 5 following a SU win of more than 10 points. San Antonio is 4-0 ATS last 4 following a SU and ATS loss, 15-5 ATS last 20 playing on 2 days rest, and 7-3 ATS last 10 overall.
The Heat did what they always do in Game 4. They bounced back from Game 3 and decided to swarm San Antonio defensively, pressuring the basketball like no other team in the league. Now the Spurs are caught in a situation with the series tied at 2-2. If they lose, the series goes back to Miami for two games and the Heat can win in Game 6 or 7. The Spurs also had two days of rest which was a good thing for Tony Parker, who scored 15 points on Thursday, all in the first half on a hamstring strain. When the Spurs take care of the basketball, they win most games. They turned it over 18 times against Miami in Game 4 against the difficult pressure. While Miami hasn't lost two straight games since January, the Spurs have not lost two straight all postseason. Expect the Spurs to play with more energy in front of the home crowd in Game 5 with everything on the line. This could be the last time San Antonio's Big 3 plays at home in the NBA Finals. They'll go out with a bang at home.
2013 NBA FINALS FREE PICK: MIAMI HEAT -1.5