Pacers vs. Heat Game 5 Pick

pacers heat 2013 eastern conference finals free picks predictions odds trends

MIAMI, FL (ATS Consultants) – Will the Pacers pull off the upset tonight when they visit the Heat for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals at 8:30PM ET?

View 2013 NBA Finals Odds

ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Heat as 7.5-point favorites over the Pacers, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 184.5 points. This game is currently tied at two games apiece.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Heat opened as 8-point favorites but the spread has been bet down to 7.5 at both online and Vegas sports books. As for the total, it opened at 183.5 and has been bet up to 184.5.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 66% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Pacers. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.

NBA FREE PICK: Take Indiana. According to latest NBA trends, Indiana is 5-2 ATS last 7 in series and 5-1 ATS last 6 vs. Southeast Division. Miami is 1-5 ATS last 6 home games and 3-7 ATS last 10 conference finals games.

The Heat played a near-perfect contest in Game 3 and couldn't duplicate that feat in Game 4. Indiana exposed some weaknesses that Miami has, especially in the frontcourt. Chris Bosh struggled with Roy Hibbert, who scored 23 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in Game 4. Then he hurt his ankle and while he will definitely play, he's not 100 percent and neither is guard Dwyane Wade (knee). LeBron James has to carry the offensive load but the Pacers have adjusted defensively. When James post up Paul George, they swing David West or the 7-foot-2 Hibbert to double James. The Heat have been getting sporadic contributions from the perimeter players. Mario Chalmers had 20 points in a loss in their last game, but Ray Allen shot just 4-off-13. Meanwhile, the Pacers have been getting better contributions from perimeter players. Lance Stephenson had 20 points and shot 9-of-14 in Game 4. But the key for the Pacers was their defense, which forced Miami to shoot just 39 percent from the field. They also outrebounded Miami 49-30. Expect another close game and for the Pacers to push Miami to the brink and cover the game.

2013 NBA FREE PICK: INDIANA PACERS +7.5

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