Heat vs. Pacers Game 4 Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Heat as 2.5-point favorites over the Pacers, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 184.5 points. Miami currently leads this series two-games-to-one.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Heat opened as 2-point favorites but the spread has jumped to 2.5 at most online and Las Vegas sports books. The total, meanwhile, opened at 185 and has been bet down to 184.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 72% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Heat. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Miami. According to latest NBA trends, Miami is 21-5 ATS last 26 road games, 14-6 ATS last 20 overall and 9-4 ATS last 13 following an ATS win. Indiana is 5-12-1 ATS last 18 following a double-digit loss at home.
The Heat played a near-perfect game on Sunday night, turning the ball over just five times, including once in the first half. They also scored 70 points in the first half, as LeBron James posted up Paul George, leaving open Udonis Haslem, Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole. James had just 22 points, but didn't need a big game because Haslem had 17 points and Dwyane Wade added 18. When Miami has their backs to the wall and want to play, they are just a head above the rest. The problem for the Pacers right now is that their homecourt advantage is gone. Their swagger of being invincible after going 6-0 at home in the postseason is now over. This is a young team, especially in the backcourt, and they are still learning how to deal with success and losses. While we don't expect Miami to be as dominant as they were in Game 3, we do think they will win and cover with ease because there is a sense of urgency now that the Spurs have closed the Grizzlies out. James and Wade could use an extra week of rest.
2013 NBA FREE PICK: MIAMI HEAT -2.5