Spurs vs. Grizzlies Game 3 Pick
LINE MOVEMENT: Memphis opened as a 4.5-point betting odds favorite and moved to 5 at most online and Vegas sports books. The total opened at 180.5 and moved to 179.5 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 54% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Spurs. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest NBA trends, San Antonio is 5-0 Over last 5 Conference Finals games. Memphis is 7-3 Over last 10 overall and 4-1 Over last 5 playing on 3 or more days rest.
The Grizzlies had their chances to win Game 2 and couldn't get the job done. In one sequence, Tony Allen and Zach Randolph combined to miss seven shots within two feet of the basket. They missed an alarming 15 of 18 attempts inside five feet in the first half. This is from a team that has two of the
best post players in the game in Marc Gasol, who is just 11-of-28 from the field this series and Randolph (7-of-26). But at home, expect the Grizzlies to play much better offensively with the crowd on their side. Defensively, Memphis played well in Game 2, but they still can't stop Tony Parker (18
assists last game) from penetrating. He's been kicking the ball outside to Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard, who are having excellent postseasons. One thing Memphis does have is a rebounding advantage as they had 19 offensive boards in Game 2 and outrebounded the Spurs by 14 Expect Memphis to play better offensively at home.
2013 NBA FREE PICK: SPURS/GRIZZLIES OVER 179.5