Spurs vs. Warriors Game 4 Pick
LINE MOVEMENT: The Warriors opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has flipped and now the Spurs are 2-point favorites. As for the total, it opened at 201.5 and now its down to 198 or 198.5, depending on what book you view.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 63% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Spurs. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Golden State. According to latest NBA trends, Spurs are 4-12 ATS last 16 playing on 1 days rest. 2-8 ATS last 10 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 4-12 ATS last 16 following a SU win. Golden State is 16-5 ATS last 21 overall, 5-2-1 ATS last 8 in series, 11-1 ATS last 12 vs. Western Conference and 5-1 ATS last 6 following an ATS loss.
The should be another entertaining game. The Warriors are in a must-win situation and don't want to go back to San Antonio down 3-1. Stephen Curry should play with an ankle issue that he seems to twist or sprain every five games or so. He had X-rays on the ankle and they were negative so even if he's 75 percent or less, he goes up against Tony Parker, who is coming off a bruised left calf and will play. With neither player at 100 percent, the Warriors will count on more Jarrett Jack, who had 11 points in 34 minutes in Game 3. Parker had 25 of his 32 points in the first half for the Spurs, but got hurt in the fourth quarter and wasn't able to elevate after he was kneed in the hamstring by Andrew Bogut. San Antonio also shot 51 percent to Golden State's 39.3 percent. Expect the younger Warriors to have their legs and put together a better shooting performance in Game 4, tying up the series, 2-2.
2013 NBA FREE PICK: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +2