Nuggets vs. Warriors Game 4 Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Nuggets as 1.5-point road favorites over the Warriors, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 211.5 points. Golden State has covered in all three games of this series thus far, including in a 97-95 loss in Game 1.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Warriors opened as 1.5-point home underdogs and that’s where the spread currently sits at most sports books, although some places list the spread at either 1 or 2. As for the total, it opened at 211 and has been bet up to 211, 211.5, 212 or even 212.5, depending on what book you view.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 54% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Nuggets. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Denver. According to latest NBA trends, Denver is 16-5-1 ATS last 22 playing on 1 days rest, 22-7 ATS last 29 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 12-5 ATS last 17 following a SU loss. Golden State is 1-4 ATS last 5 Sunday games.
Denver (58-27 SU, 49-35-1 ATS, 48-36-1 O/U) is coming off a tough loss on Friday night to the Warriors. That loss put them down 2-1 in their series against Golden State (49-36 SU, 45-39-1 ATS, 49-35-1 O/U). Denver countered Golden State's lineup with a small version of their own. They nearly won the game but couldn't finish at the end as Stephen Curry burned them with 29 points playing on a sprained ankle. Key turnovers down the stretch hampered the Nuggets, who were led by Ty Lawson, who had 35 points and 10 assists. But rookie Draymond Green was a real dagger for the Nuggets. The Golden State rookie had 19 points off the bench on 8-of-17 shooting. He averages 2.9 points per game. Don't expect the same type of performance on Sunday night. This is a must-win game for the Nuggets, who will take Game 4 at Oracle Arena in Oakland at 9:30pmET.
2013 NBA PLAYOFFS GAME 4 FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS -1.5