Nuggets vs. Mavericks Free Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Nuggets as 7-point favorites over the Mavericks, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 207 points. Dallas is 36-38 overall and 14-23 on the road this year, while Denver is 51-24 overall and 33-3 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Nuggets opened as 6-point favorites but the spread has been bet up to 7 at most sports books, while the over/under total opened at 209.5 and was bet down to 207.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 77% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Nuggets. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Denver. According to latest NBA trends, Dallas is 1-4 ATS last 5 overall and 2-5 ATS last 7 playing on 1 days rest. Denver is: 12-3 ATS last 15 home games, 23 9-1 ATS last 33 overall, 13-5 ATS last 18 playing on 0 days rest and 18-7-1 ATS last 26 following a SU win.
The Dallas Mavericks (36-38 SU, 42-32 ATS, 43-29-2 O/U) are coming off a 101-81 loss at the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday, getting 3.5. The Mavericks have won four of the last six but have covered just one of the last five. Denver (51-24 SU, 46-28-1 ATS, 41-33-1 O/U) has won two straight, including a 113-96 victory over Utah on Wednesday, getting 3. They've covered their last three games. The Denver Nuggets are pushing for home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs, while the Dallas Mavericks are trying to get closer to .500. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, the loss to the Lakers, who are in the eighth spot now, was devastating to their playoff hopes. They are now 2.5 games behind the Lakers for the final playoff spot. The Nuggets hold a 1.5 game lead over the Clippers for third in the Western Conference. Denver continues to play without point guard Ty Lawson (heel), but veteran Andre Miler has stepped up, scoring 25 combined points in the last two games. Miller is averaging 13.2 points and shooting 50 percent from the floor in his last five starts. Rookie guard Evan Fournier has also come on as he has 37 points in the last two games. Expect the Mavericks to fall even further in the playoff race. Denver hosts Dallas from the Pepsi Center at 9:35pmET on Thursday night.
2013 NBA FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS -7