Heat vs. Mavericks Free Pick
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Heat as 2.5-point favorites over the Mavericks, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 206.5 points. Miami is 37-14 overall and 17-10 on the road, while Dallas is 32-22 overall and 18-8 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Mavericks opened as 2.5-point home underdogs and that’s where the line currently sits at most books, although some places list the odds at either 2 or 3. As for the total, it opened at 207.5 and has been bet down to 206.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 87% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Heat. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Miami. According to latest NBA trends, the Heat are 8-2-1 against the spread in their last 11 trips to Dallas, while the road team is 18-6-2 against the number in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. The Heat are also 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games versus a team with a winning straight up record, 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mavs, meanwhile, are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
TUESDAY NBA FREE PICK: MIAMI HEAT -2.5