Giants vs. Cardinals Game 5 Free Pick
ST. LOUIS, MO (ATS Consultants) – This is the fifth game of the National League Championship Series. St. Louis has won the last two to take a 3-1 lead in the series. Barry Zito takes the mound for the Giants, while Lance Lynn takes the hill for the Cardinals. The opening pitch starts at 8:05pmET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis.
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Cardinals are -155 favorite over the Giants. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Giants come in with a 98-73 record and are 93-72 Over, while the Cards are 95-77 overall and are 85-82 Over.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Cards opened as a -157 favorite and moved to -155 in most books. The total started at 8 and moved to 7.5 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 56% of public bettors favor the Cardinals. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take St. Louis. According to latest MLB trends, St. Louis is 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite, 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series, 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 17-5 in their last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 10-3 in their last 13 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 19-7 in their last 26 overall, 26-10 in their last 36 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 5-0 in Lynn's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series, 21-5 in Lynn's last 26 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and are 23-8 in Lynn's last 31 starts. The San Francisco Giants are on the brink of elimination, down 3-1 in the best-of-seven NLCS. The St. Louis Cardinals rolled to an 8-3 win in Game 3 on Thursday. The win moved St. Louis one victory away from a matchup with the Detroit Tigers in the World Series, with the Cardinals’ Lance Lynn slated to face Barry Zito in Game 5. Since the League Championship Series adopted the best-of-seven format in 1985, only four of the 33 teams that fell behind 3-1 have come back to win. Cardinals right fielder Carlos Beltran sat out Game 4 with a strained left knee, but he’s hopeful that he’ll be able to return to the starting lineup on Friday. Despite Beltran’s absence, the Cardinals outhit the Giants 12-6 with Jon Jay, Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday driving in two runs apiece. The Cards need to take care of business here, because if they lose, the series goes back to San Francisco where Ryan Vogelsong with pitch Game 6 for the Giants, followed by Matt Cain in Game 7. Zito allowed four hits and four walks over 2 2/3 innings in Game 4 of the NLDS. He’s 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA in nine career starts against St. Louis.
2012 MLB POSTSEASON NLCS GAME 5 FREE PICK: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS –155