|2012 MLB Postseason Yankees vs. Tigers ALCS Game 4 Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Wednesday, 17 October 2012 11:01|
Yankees vs. Tigers Game 4 Pick
DETROIT, MI (ATS Consultants) – This is the fourth game of the American League Championship Series. The Tigers took Game 3 on Tuesday as Justin Verlander almost went the distance in a 2-1 victory. C.C. Sabathia takes the mound for the Yankees against Max Scherzer for the Tigers. The opening pitch starts at 8pmET from Comerica Park.
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are -105 favorite over the Yankees. The total is 7 in most books. The Yankees come in with a 96-72 record and are 73-92 Under, while the Tigers are 94-76 overall and are 91-71 Over.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Tigers opened as a -105 favorite and remained there in most books. The total started at 7 and remained there in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 66% of public bettors favor the Yankees. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take Detroit. According to latest MLB trends, the Yankees are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 3-9 in their last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship games. Tigers are 4-1 in Scherzer's last 5 starts vs. Yankees, 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East, 8-1 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 6-2 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 40-14 in their last 54 home games, 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 21-10 in their last 31 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, 19-7 in Scherzer's last 26 home starts and are 8-3 in Scherzer's last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Delmon Young's blast was his franchise-record seventh postseason homer and fifth in eight games against New York, which calls upon CC Sabathia to help avoid a sweep. The Yankees' problem continues to be their offense. Robinson Cano is hitting .083 (3-for-36) as he ended an 0-for-29 drought and Curtis Granderson has gone 3-for-29 (.103) with 15 strikeouts. The Tigers, who have not won a world championship since 1984, are seeking their first World Series berth since 2006, when they lost in five games to the St. Louis Cardinals. Sabathia is 3-2 with a 5.20 ERA in six career ALCS starts, Last year, Sabathia struggled versus Detroit in last year's ALDS, allowing six runs over 8 2/3 innings in two starts and a relief appearance. Scherzer pitched well in Game 4 of the ALDS against Oakland, allowing an unearned run and three hits over 5 1/3 innings while walking one and striking out eight. Scherzer tossed six scoreless innings in a victory over the Yankees in Game 2 of last year's ALDS.
2012 MLB POSTSEASON ALCS GAME 4 FREE PICK: DETROIT TIGERS –105