Orioles vs. Yankees Game 3 Pick

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NEW YORK, NY (ATS Consultants) – This is the third game of the American League Division Series. Baltimore won on Monday, 3-2 to tied the best-of-five-series at 1-1. Miguel Gonzalez takes the mound for the Orioles against Hiroki Kuroda for the Yankees. The opening pitch starts at 7:30pmET from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

View 2012 World Series Odds

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Yankees as a -180 favorite over the Orioles. The total is 8.5 in most books. The Orioles come in with a 95-70 record and are 72-88 Under, while the Yankees are 96-68 overall and are 72-87 Under.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Yankees opened as a -180 favorite and remained there in most books. The total started at 8.5 and remained there.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 55% of public bettors favor the Yankees. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Baltimore. According to latest MLB trends, Baltimore is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog, 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 10-3 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series,  20-6 in their last 26 games following an off day, 19-7 in their last 26 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5,  8-3 in their last 11 road games, 24-11 in their last 35 vs. American League East, 40-19 in their last 59 overall,  4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts vs. American League East, 6-1 in Gonzalez's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and is 7-2 in Gonzalez's last 9 road starts. Baltimore gets no respect from the oddsmakers. The Yankees sent their best two pitchers to the mound and came out with a split. Gonzalez won his final three starts of the regular season and allowed two runs or less in five of his last six outings. The 28-year-old was impressive on the road in his first major league campaign, going 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 11 games - including two relief appearances. Gonzalez was 2-0 against the Yankees, with both victories coming in New York. He yielded four runs while striking out eight over 6 2/3 innings July 30 and fanned nine in seven scoreless frames Aug. 31. Kuroda split his two starts against the Orioles, both of which were at Yankee Stadium. On Aug 31, he yielded four runs over 8 1/3 frames in a loss to Gonzalez on Aug. 31.


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