|2012 MLB Playoffs Reds vs. Giants NLDS Game 1 Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Saturday, 06 October 2012 14:15|
Reds vs. Giants MLB Free Pick
SAN FRANCISCO, CA (ATS Consultants) – This is the opening game of the National League Division Series. Johnny Cueto takes the mound for the Reds against Matt Cain for the Giants. The opening pitch starts at 9:30pmET from AT&T Park.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Giants opened as a -110 favorite and moved to -120 in most books. The total started at 6.5 and remained there.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 66% of public bettors favor the Giants. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the Cincinnati Reds. According to the MLB latest trends: Reds are 7-3 last 10 in series, 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 11-3 in their last 14 vs. National League West, 16-5 in their last 21 Saturday games, 6-2 in their last 8 games following an off day, 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 7-3 in their last 10 road games, 9-4 in their last 13 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, 37-17 in their last 54 games following a loss, 20-6 in Cueto's last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 11-4 in Cueto's last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record and are 35-17 in Cueto's last 52 starts on grass. Giants are 5-11 in Cain's last 16 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and are 2-6 in Cain's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Both teams could win up in the World Series, but this is Reds' year. They are healthy and primed to start of this series with a win as Cueto has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year. Cain had one of his worst starts of the year when he faced the Reds on June 29, giving up 11 hits and 5 runs in 6 2/3 IP.
2012 MLB PLAYOFFS GAME 1 NLDS FREE PICK: CINCINNATI REDS +114