MLB Reds vs. Pirates Picks & Predictions for Sunday, September 30 Print
Written by ATSSportsline.com   
Sunday, 30 September 2012 09:35
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Reds vs. Pirates MLB Free Pick

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PITTSBURGH, PA (ATS Consultants) –This is the final game of a three-game series. These two teams split the first team games including Pittsburgh's 2-1 win on Saturday. Johnny Cueto takes the mound for the Reds, while Wandy Rodriguez goes to the hill for the Pirates. The opening pitch starts at 1:35pmET from PNC Park from Pittsburgh.

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Cincinnati is a -145 favorite over Pittsburgh. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Reds come in with a 85-63 overall record and are 60-85 Under, while the Pirates are 77-81  overall and are 69-80 Under.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Reds opened as a -145 favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 10.5 and remained there at most books.

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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 84% of public bettors favor the Reds. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Cincinnati. According to latest MLB trends, the Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record,  21-6 in their last 27 games as a road favorite, 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter,  24-9 in their last 33 road games,  25-11 in their last 36 Sunday games, 8-1 in Cueto's last 9 Sunday starts,  13-3 in Cueto's last 16 starts during game 3 of a series,  20-7 in Cueto's last 27 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and are 33-15 in Cueto's last 48 starts on grass. Pirates are 16-35 in their last 51 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 16-37 in their last 53 overall,  7-20 in their last 27 vs. National League Central, 2-6 in their last 8 games as a home underdog,  5-16 in their last 21 games as an underdog,  are 7-23 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter, 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games and are 1-5 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Reds are still looking to get the best record in the NL. Cueto is going for his 20th win and a possible Cy Young Award. The Pirates just aren't hitting right now and with the Reds coming off a close loss, expect them to be all over Rodriguez, a good but not great pitcher who will be overwhelmed.

SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: CINCINNATI REDS –145

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