Pirates vs. Reds Free Pick

pirates reds mlb free pick predictions odds trends

CINCINNATI, OH (The Spread) - The Pirates and Reds are battling for home field advantage in the one-game wild card playoff next week. Will Cincinnati even the series today at 1:05pM ET?

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Reds are -120 money line favorites over the Pirates, who are +111 on the ML. With Charlie Morton set to face Bronson Arroyo in the pitching matchup, the over/under total is currently sitting at 7.5 runs. 

LINE MOVEMENT: The Reds are -120 money line favorites after opening as -130 money line favorites, while the Pirates' odds have gone from +120 down to +111.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 65% of the betting public currently favors Cincinnati. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Pittsburgh. According to latest MLB trends, the Reds are 1-4 in Arroyo's last five starts and 0-4 in his last four starts as a favorite. They're also 6-13 in his last 19 starts versus a team with a winning record and 2-5 in their last seven home games overall. The Pirates, meanwhile, are 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog, 6-1 in their last seven road games and 5-2 in their last seven games versus a team with a  winning record. They're also 5-2 in Morton's last seven road games and 4-1 in his last five starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Look for Pittsburgh to wrap up home field advantage next week with a victory today.


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