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Yankees vs. Blue Jays Free Pick

TORONTO (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a four-game series. Ivan Nova takes the mound for the Yankees, while Brandon Morrow goes to the hill for the Blue Jays. The opening pitch starts at 7:07pmET from Rogers Centre in Toronto.

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Yankees as a -130 favorite over the Blue Jays. The total is 9 in most books. The Yankees come in with a 90-65 record and are 67-83 Under, while the Blue Jays are 68-87 overall and are 74-73 Over.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Rangers opened as a -140 favorite and moved to -135 in most books. The total started at 9 and remained there in most books.

Bet 2012 World Series Odds

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 80% of public bettors favor the Yankees. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take the Yankees. According to latest MLB trends, the Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East, 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record,  6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150,  5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 9-2 in their last 11 games as a favorite,  11-3 in their last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 15-2 in Nova's last 17 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 21-6 in Nova's last 27 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game, 21-7 in Nova's last 28 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game,  22-8 in Nova's last 30 road starts and are 4-0 in Nova's last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays. Toronto is 17-38 in their last 55 overall, 15-36 in their last 51 games following a loss, 10-27 in their last 37 games vs. a right-handed starter, 8-23 in their last 31 vs. a team with a winning record,  6-18 in their last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30,  2-7 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League East, 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and are 0-4 in Morrow's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.  The New York Yankees are inching closer to a playoff berth though the AL East lead over the Baltimore Orioles is just 1 1/2 games. The Yankees took two of three at the Minnesota Twins and have won nine of their last 11 overall. The Blue Jays’ staff has surrendered the most home runs in baseball and has been touched for an average of 6.3 runs over the last 10 games. Nova struck out 10 in 7 1/3 innings to win at Toronto on Aug. 11 and has fared well against the division rivals in his career. Posting a 3-1 record with a 3.45 ERA in six games - five starts. Morrow is coming off one of the poor efforts - a loss at Tampa Bay in which he allowed five runs in four innings.

THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: NEW YORK YANKEES –130

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