MLB Reds vs. Marlins Picks & Predictions for Friday, September 14 Print
Written by ATSSportsline.com   
Friday, 14 September 2012 14:00
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Reds vs. Marlins MLB Free Pick

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MIAMI, FL (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a three-game series. Bronson Arroyo takes the mound for the Reds, while Jacob Turner takes the mound for the Marlins. The opening pitch starts at 7:10pmET from Marlins Ballpark.

ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Reds as a -135 favorite over the Marlins. The total is 8.5 in most books. The Reds come in with a 87-57 record and are 56-75 Under, while Miami is 63-81 overall and 67-66 Over.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Reds opened as a -145 favorite and moved down to -135 in most books. The total started at 8.5 and remained there in most books.

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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 80% of public bettors favor the Reds. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take the Reds. According to the latest MLB trends, Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games, 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record,  9-3 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 19-7 in their last 26 road games,  39-15 in their last 54 games as a favorite,  20-8 in their last 28 games as a road favorite, 12-5 in their last 17 vs. National League East, 7-0 in Arroyo's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and are 6-0 in Arroyo's last 6. Marlins are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a loss, 15-37 in their last 52 games as a home underdog,  16-41 in their last 57 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150, 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day and are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League Central. The Reds face a team that is 18 games below .500. and has lost three straight. Cincy is 11 games up in the NL Central but hasn't stopped trying as indicated by their 3 straight wins over Pittsburgh in their last series. They are trying to watch Washington for best record in the NL. Arroyo is pitching extremely well as of late (2-0, 1.89 ERA), taking on a young starter on Turner, who is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts.

FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: CINCINNATI REDS -135

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