Monday MLB Free Pick

mets cardinals mlb free pick predictions odds trends

ST. LOUIS, MO (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a three-game series. The Mets took three straight from Miami this past weekend on the road, while St. Louis just lost 2 of 3 at Washington. Collin McHugh takes the mound for the Mets, while Joe Kelly goes to the hill for the Cardinals. The opening pitch starts at 2:15pmET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis.

ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Cardinals as a -155 favorite over the Mets. The total is 8.5 in most books.The Mets come in with a 64-70 overall record and is 71-50 Over, while the Cards are 72-62 overall and are 64-66 Under.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Cards opened as a -150 favorite and moved up to -155 at most books. The total started at 8.5 and remained there at most books.

View Latest 2012 World Series Odds

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 66% of public bettors favor the Cardinals. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take the NY Mets. According to latest MLB trends,  Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog,  5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150,  7-1 in their last 8 overall and are 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Cards are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East,  1-5 in their last 6 overall,  2-5 in Kelly's last 7 starts and are 1-5 in Kelly's last 6 starts as a favorite. The Mets are playing some very good baseball so this is a pretty good value pick. Joe Kelly has struggled for the Cards in his last three starts, posting a 6.06 ERA. The Mets have beaten the Cards in 4 of their last 5 games. Collin McHugh gave up no runs in his only start in 7 innings against Colorado (1-0 loss). The Mets are a nice dog here and with a young pitcher and after winning 6 of their last 7 games, they are a solid pick.

MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: NEW YORK METS +148

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