Friday MLB Free Pick
KANSAS CITY, MO (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a four-game series. Cole De Vreis takes the mound for the Twins against Will Smith for the Royals. The opening pitch starts at 8:10pmET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Royals as a -130 favorite over the Twins. The total is 9 in most books. The Twins come in with a 53-78 record and are 64-61 Over, while the Royals are 59-71 overall and 56-71 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Royals opened as a -135 favorite and moved to -130 in most books. The total started at 9.5 and moved down to 9.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 63% of public bettors favor the Twins. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the over. According to the latest MLB trends, Minnesota is 6-1 Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 Over last 5 Friday games and are 12-5 Over last 17 vs. American League Central. Royals are 4-1 Over last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. These two pitchers should get roughed up. Smith is 4-6 this year with a 5.55 ERA and has a 5.74 ERA with a 1.74 WHIP in his last three starts. Minnesota hits lefties (.261) better than they hit righties (.257). Josh Willingham leads the way with 33 homers and 96 RBI. De Vries has been much better. He owns a 4.68 ERA this year with a 3-5 record. He did beat Texas in his last start (6-5) allowing three runs in five innings (2 earned). The Royals have some big bats as well led by Billy Butler, who can go deep at any time against Smith.
FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: ROYALS/TWINS OVER 9.5