Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction
Are the Nationals a safe bet to cover on the runline tonight when they visit the Phillies at 7:05PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Nationals are -205 moneyline favorites to beat the Phillies, who have odds of +180 to pull off the upset tonight at home. With Tanner Roark set to face Jake Thompson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs.
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WASHINGTON: Roark gave up five runs (four earned) in five innings and took the loss against the Orioles last Wednesday. He gave up seven hits and walked three while striking out four in the game. He struggled with his command and Baltimore used his inefficiency against him, forcing him to throw 111 pitches in just five innings. Roark still has a solid 13-7 record with a 2.99 ERA over 169 1/3 innings.
Bet Tonight’s Nationals vs. Phillies Game
PHILADELPHIA: Thompson gave up seven runs on eight hits over five innings in his last start, which came against the White Sox last Tuesday. He gave up a pair of home runs for the second straight outing and has now given up five in four major league starts since being promoted from the minors. He currently owns a 1-3 record with a 9.78 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP.
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OUR PICK: The Nationals have won 13 of Roark’s last six starts and are 4-0 in his last four road starts. They’re also 10-1 in his last 11 starts versus an opponent with a losing record, are 4-0 in his last four starts versus divisional foes, and are 7-2 in his last nine outings when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. On the other side, the Phillies have lost 26 of 36 coming off a win, so they’re not a strong bet to making it back-to-back victories following a win on Sunday.
MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 (+130)