Rangers vs. Tigers MLB Free Pick
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are -173 money line favorites over the Rangers, who are +159 on the ML. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 9.5 runs with Justin Grimm set to face Doug Fister in the pitching matchup.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Tigers opened as -177 money line favorites but their odds have dropped to -173, while the Rangers' odds have dropped from +163 down to +159. Texas is 53-39 overall and 26-20 on the road, while Detroit is 50-41 overall and 27-18 at home.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 58% of the betting public currently favors Detroit. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest MLB trends, Texas is: 6-2 Over last 8 in Grimm's last 8 starts on grass and 9-3 Over last 12 as a road dog of +151 to +200. Detroit is: 8-1 Over last 9 at home and 10-3-1 Over last 14 on Fister's last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas (53-39, 26-20 road, 35-53 O/U) is looking to close the first half on a winning note. Detroit (50-41, 27-18 home, 51-39 O/U) is still up on Cleveland by 2.5 games in the American League Central, despite losing two of their last three at home. There will be a few home runs in this game. Justin Grimm (7-6, 5.88 ERA) allowed four runs over four innings in a 5-4 Texas win over Houston on Sunday. The rookie right-hander has allowed 10 home runs over his last seven starts. That's never a good thing when you're facing the Tigers, who have produced 103 home runs this year. They are anchored by MVP-candidate Miguel Cabrera, who has 12 homers in 56 career games vs. the Rangers. Cabrera is 3 for 5 against Grimm. He is also hitting .398 with 12 home runs and 25 RBIs over his last 25 contests. Doug Fister (6-5, 4.07 ERA) hasn't been much better as he's allowed 13 runs in his last two starts against Texas and 12 runs in his last two starts overall. Expect both teams to put up runs against struggling starting pitchers.
MLB FREE PICK: RANGERS/TIGERS OVER 9.5