MLB Giants vs. Reds Picks & Predictions for July 1, 2013 Print
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Monday, 01 July 2013 14:55
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Giants vs. Reds MLB Free Pick

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CINCINNATI, OH (ATS Consultants) - Two struggling National League teams will square off in Cincinnati tonight when the Reds host the Giants at 7:10PM ET.

View Current MLB Odds

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Reds are -159 money line favorites over the Giants, who are +146 on the ML. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 9 runs with rookie Michael Kickham set to face Bronson Arroyo in the pitching matchup.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Reds opened as -170 money line favorites but their odds have dropped to -159 at most online sports books, while the Giants' odds have fallen from +156 down to +146. San Francisco is 39-42 overall and 15-27 on the road, while Cincinnati is 46-36 overall and 26-14 at home.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 74% of the betting public currently favors Cincinnati. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Cincinnati. According to latest MLB trends, San Francisco is: 0-5 last 5 as an underdog and 2-9 last 9 vs. National League Central, 3-10 last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 7-19 last 26 road games. Cincinnati is: 5-0 last 5 Monday games, 4-1 last 5 home starts vs. Giants, 22-10 last 32 as a home favorite, 15-7 last 22 during game 1 of a series and 9-1 in Arroyo's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

The last time these teams faced one another was in the National League Division series in 2012. The Giants won the series and eventually took the World Series. This year, the Giants aren't on track to even make the playoffs after losing six of their last seven. They send out rookie lefty Michael Kickham (0-2, 10.57 ERA) against veteran Bronson Arroyo (6-6, 3.61 ERA) Kickham is making his third major-league start. The 24-year old left-hander gave up six runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last star on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He last just 2 1/3 innings against Oakland on the road on May 28, including four runs. Arroyo was on a nice roll, throwing four straight starts allowing just two runs or less until his last start. He gave up seven runs at Oakland on June 25, in just four innings, which was his shortest outing of the season. Arroyo has pitched well in his career against the Giants, posting a 3.13 ERA in 12 career games. The Reds are now in third place in the National League Central, 5.5 games behind Pittsburgh and 2.5 games behind St. Louis for second place. They cant afford to fall much farther behind or they'll be out of the wild card race. Despite playing poorly on their most recent road trip, the Reds are 26-14 at home. They take on a San Francisco team that is 15-27 on the road and scuffling worse than the Reds. 

MLB FREE PICK: CINCINNATI REDS -159

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