Red Sox vs. Orioles Free Pick
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are -112 money line favorites over the Orioles, who are +104 on the ML. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 9.5 runs as John Lackey will take on Freddy Garcia.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Red Sox opened as -110 money line favorites but their odds have climbed to -112, while the Orioles' odds have gone from +102 up to +104. Boston is 41-28 on the year and 20-14 on the road, while Baltimore is 39-29 overall and 19-14 at home.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 66% of the betting public currently favors Boston. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.
MLB FREE PICK: Take Baltimore. According to latest MLB trends, Boston is: 4-13 in Lackey's last 17 road starts with a total of 9.0-10.5 and 8-23 last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Baltimore is: 21-7 last 28 in series, 5-0 last 5 at home in series and 8-1 last 9 home games with a total set of 9.0-10.5.
This would definitely not be considered a pitcher's duel on paper. Lackey has had a comeback season but he has struggled on the road in three of his last four starts. On June 10, he was rocked at Tampa Bay, giving up two home runs and four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings but the Red Sox beat the Rays, 10-8. He also allowed eight runs in his last start against Baltimore, although that was in September of 2011. Baltimore is already up 2-0 in this series and 4-1 this year. It helps to have All-Star caliber players in Adam Jones and 3B Manny Machado. But it's 1B Chris Davis who is playing like an MVP. Davis hit his 22nd home run on Friday night to lead Baltimore to a 2-0 win and to lead the majors in home runs. The Orioles have also received some good pitching as of late, They've allowed four or less runs in four of their last five starts. Boston has scored just nine runs in their last four games as they've struggled on the road. Not having 1B Mike Napoli (illness) hasn't helped as he's a solid slugger who can protect David Ortiz. Boston has a .167 average with 11 runs over their last five games at Camden Yards-a hitter's ballpark. Garcia wins another for the streaking Orioles, who gets help from Davis, Jones and Machado.
MLB FREE PICK: BALTIMORE ORIOLES +104