Twins vs. Royals MLB Free Pick
KANSAS CITY, MO (ATS Consultants) - The Royals host the Twins tonight in what could be a high-scoring game at Kauffman Stadium.
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Royals are -139 money line favorites over the Twins, who are +128 on the ML. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 9 runs as Mike Pelfrey will oppose Wade Davis in the pitching matchup.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Royals opened as -137 money line favorites but their odds have jumped to -139, while the Twins are now +128 on the ML after opening at +126. Minnesota is 26-30 on the year and 13-16 on the road, while Kansas City is 24-32 overall and 11-15 at home.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 56% of the betting public currently favors Kansas City. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest MLB trends, Minnesota is 6-2 Over last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Royals are 5-2-1 Over in Davis' last 8 starts overall.
The Twins' (26-30, 13-16 road, 26-29 O/U) offense was stymied last night by Jamie Guthrie as they scored just one run in the first inning. Minnesota had scored 18 runs in their previous six games. Now Mike Pelfrey (3-6, 6.66 ERA) takes the mound for the Twins and he's struggling big-time. Pelfrey gave up six runs and eight hits in two innings against the Royals on April 10. Opponents are hitting .332 against Pelfrey this season, who has lost four straight. Wade Davis (3-6, 6.16 ERA) hasn't been much better. He is 3-0 with a 4.08 ERA in seven appearances against the Twins. He allowed six runs and 10 hits in his last start against Texas on May 31. He hasn't gone past 6 1/3 innings since April 17, when he held Atlanta scoreless. Expect this each pitcher to be a tonic for each team's hitting problems. The Twins visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at 8:10pmET.
MLB FREE PICK: ROYALS/TWINS OVER 9