Pirates vs. Padres Free Pick
SAN DIEGO, CA (The Spread) – The Padres host the Pirates at 10:10PM ET with Tim Stauffer looking to bounce back from a brutal outing in his last start.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Padres opened with -109 money line odds but their line has since climbed to -116, while the Pirates’ odds have gone from +101 up to +107. The total opened at 7 and hasn’t moved at most online and Vegas sports books.
PITCHING MATCHUP: The Pirates will start Charlie Morton, who is 1-7 with a 3.29 ERA, while the Padres will counter with Tim Stauffer, who is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA. San Diego is 26-31 on the year and 14-15 at home, while Pittsburgh is 26-30 overall and 10-17 on the road.
MLB FREE PICK: Take San Diego. According to latest MLB trends, the Pirates are 8-17 in their last 25 games in San Diego and 14-39 in their last 53 games overall versus the Padres. The Bucs are also 2-7 in Morton’s last nine starts, 1-4 in his last five starts as a road underdog and 0-4 in his last four road starts. On the other side, the Padres are 4-0 in Stauffers last four starts as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last four games following a loss, and 6-2 in their last eight games on Monday. Stauffer allowed seven runs in the first inning of his last start but he’s in for a market correction tonight.
MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: SAN DIEGO PADRES -116