Rays vs. Twins Pick
Will the Minnesota Twins be able to win as a home underdog when they face the Tampa Bay Rays at 8:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Rays are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -145 to win tonight. Minnesota is listed with a money line of +125 at home, while the over/under total is listed at 8.5 runs. These two have yet to meet this season.
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The pitching matchup today has Chris Archer (3-3, 3.76 ERA) on the mound for the Rays to face Hector Santiago (4-2, 3.96) of the Twins. Archer has lost his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs over 11.1 innings. While his strikeouts are solid at 77, he still has a WHIP of 1.22 due to 55 hits and 24 walks allowed. Santiago has allowed multiple runs in his last six starts. He has given up 22 earned runs in 50 innings of work. He also has 33 strikeouts with 19 walks. His WHIP this season is 1.34.
The Rays are coming off back-to-back wins over the Angels at home. The Rays are 25-25 overall and 9-12 on the road. Tampa is putting up 4.54 runs per game while allowing 4.08. The Rays are being led by Corey Dickerson, who is hitting .332 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 23 RBI. Logan Morrison is adding 12 home runs and 32 RBI for the Rays.
Minnesota comes in hot. They swept the Orioles in Baltimore and have won six of their last seven games. The Twins are 25-18 overall and 11-13 at home. Minnesota is putting up 4.58 runs per contest while allowing 4.49. The Twins are being led by Miguel Sano, who has 11 home runs with 37 RBI and a .300 average. Max Kepler is adding five home runs and 21 RBI with 11 doubles as well.
The Twins aren’t getting much respect at home. They are coming off a big sweep at Baltimore this week and now return home as an underdog to a .500 team. I know Archer garners a lot of respect, but the Rays are just 5-5 when he has taken the mound and they have lost five of his last six starts. Santiago has been good enough to compete against this Tampa lineup and I trust the Minnesota bullpen to help him in the closing innings at home. Go with the home underdog tonight.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: MINNESOTA TWINS +125