Astros vs. Marlins Pick
Will the Houston Astros and Miami Marlins put up a big run total when the two meet up later today at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Astros are the clear favorite on the road, as they are getting odds of -180 to win, while the Marlins are listed with a money line of +160 to prevail. The over/under total for the game is set at 8.5 runs.
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Today’s pitching matchup has Dallas Keuchel (6-0, 1.69 ERA) on the mound to face Travis Koehler (1-1, 5.60) of the Marlins. Keuchel has continued to be the ace for Houston. He is 6-0 while the Astros are 7-1 in his starts. He has allowed just 11 earned runs in 58.2 innings of work. He also has 50 strikeouts with only 14 walks and a WHIP of 0.87. Koehler has been consistent, but not necessarily in the best way. He has allowed at least three earned runs in his last six starts and has yet to get past six innings of work in any outing. His WHIP is 1.47.
Houston took the first game of the series on Monday night, 7-2. The road team has won five straight in this series, dating back to 2012. Houston is now 27-12 overall, 13-6 on the road and 21-17 with the over. Miami is 14-23 overall, 6-12 at home and 21-14 with the over.
These two put up nine runs on 20 hits in Monday’s clash. The Marlins actually out-hit the Astros, 12-2, but couldn’t drive the runs in. Miami stranded nine runners in the game. Dan Straily went five scoreless innings for Miami, but the Marlins’ bullpen gave up seven runs over four innings. Yulli Gurriel had two hits and drove in four runs while Jose Altuve had two hits and drove in three runs.
These two managed to put up nine runs on Monday despite the starting pitchers doing quite well. Keuchel should do quite well for Houston today, but Koehler will likely continue to struggle. The Marlins hit the over in Koehler’s last five home starts and the Astros have hit it in six of Keuchel’s last eight interleague starts. While I don’t see Miami getting a lot of runs today, I think Houston will. I say go with the over.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: ASTROS/MARLINS OVER 8.5