|MLB Tigers vs. Royals Picks & Predictions for Monday, April 16, 2012|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Monday, 16 April 2012 14:15|
Tigers vs. Royals MLB Free Pick
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Tigers as a -200 favorite, while the over/under total is 7.5 runs. Detroit is 6-3 overall and 2-6-1 UNDER this season, while Kansas City is 3-6 overall and 6-3 OVER.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Tigers opened up as a -205 favorite and moved down to -200 at most books. The total opened at 7.5 runs and remained there in most sports books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 83% of public bettors favor the Tigers. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the UNDER. According to the latest MLB trends, Rays are 0-4 Under in Verlander’s last 4 starts vs. Royals, 1-4 Under in Verlander’s last 5 road starts vs. Royals. Royals are 1-4 Under in Duffy’s last 5 starts as a home underdog, 2-7 Under in Duffy’s last 9 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 2-5 Under in Duffy’s last 7 starts vs. American League Central. Detroit is 3-12-2 Under in Verlander’s last 17 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 5-11-2 Under in Verlander’s last 18 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Detroit is throwing out the best pitcher in baseball, Justin Verlander, whose first start went under 7 (2-4). He went 8.1 IP in that game but was letdown by his bullpen. Danny Duffy pitched well in his opener, going 6 innings and giving up no runs at Oakland. While this isn’t Oakland, Duffy is one of the up-and-coming pitchers in the AL, who has always had the talent to be a top rotation starter. KC has lost four in a row so they really need a strong pitching performance tonight. But they will struggle to score any runs against Verlander.
MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: TIGERS/ROYALS UNDER 7.5