Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction
Are the Cubs a safe runline play today against the Pirates when the NL Central rivals clash at 2:20PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Cubs are -260 money line favorites over the Pirates, who have odds of +230 to pull off the upset today at Wrigley Field. Tyler Glasnow is set to face Jake Arrieta in the pitching matchup.
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PIRATES KEY TRENDS: Despite upsetting the Cubs yesterday, the Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven games in Chicago and are 7-19 in their last 27 games versus the Cubs overall. The Pirates are 1-4 in their last five games overall, are 1-7 in their last eight road games and are 1-6 in their last eight contests versus National League Central rivals.
CUBS KEY TRENDS: The Cubs are a perfect 4-0 in Arrieta’s last four home starts versus the Pirates and have won eight of his last 10 starts versus Pittsburgh overall. The Cubs are 15-7 in Arrieta’s last 22 home starts and are 43-15 in his last 58 starts overall.
Bet Today’s Pirates vs. Cubs Game
OUR PICK: Glasnow was beat up in his debut on Monday, allowing five earned runs on four hits and five walks over just 1 2/3 innings of work. Nine of 14 hitters reached base against Glasnow, who threw 64 pitches while covering less than two innings. That was against the Reds, who have a decent offense but nothing compared to the Cubs. Chicago doesn’t offer much value on the run line, but that’s the way I would go in this matchup today given the pitching matchup.
SATURDAY MLB FREE PICK: CHICAGO CUBS -1.5 (-130)