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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 31

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 31

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

The closing matchup of a four game series between Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox is today’s baseball betting focus. The pitching matchup here is one in which bettors are probably going to rush to the window to make a play on Detroit. Rick Porcello is the starter for Tigers. He has a 3.06 ERA and has been a very steady member of the quality starting rotation posting an 15-8 mark over 25 starts with a 16-9 team start record. The troops from Mo-Town should feel pretty good about their starter in this game. Porcello in fine form tossing 17.0 innings of 2 run ball in a pair of winning efforts heads to the hill with a sparkling 12-2 TSR vs Pale Hose including 6-2 last eight trips to the South Side of Chicago. For White Sox, the starter is Jose Quintana carrying a 6-10 record 3.48 ERA. The southpaw lasting just 5 innings giving up 9 hits 6 runs in a loss vs Cleveland is winless in five trips to the mound giving up 19 runs over the span (0-5 TSR).

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 31

Indians, Royals clash

Cleveland (69-64) at Oakland (74-60) Line and Total: Kansas City -160 Cleveland +140, Total: 9

The Cleveland Indians look to inch back into the race for the final Wild Card spot in the American League as the Royals try to continue a bid at winning the AL Central division for the first time since 1985.

Cleveland has not really been able to find their groove this year and still sit four games out of the final Wild Card spot coming into this series. They have been turning it around of late, though, with victories in eight of their last 12 contests while winning or tying each of their last six series. To start the week, they defeated the White Sox over a three-game set, capping it off with a 3-2 win in Thursday’s rubber-match. OF Michael Bourn (.272) was a huge asset in the game, going 3-for-5 with two triples and a run while coming into Friday with a five game hitting streak in which he is 9-for-22 (.409) with three extra-base hits, two RBI and three runs.

Kansas City has taken the league by storm and with a record of 26-9 (.743) since July 22nd, have grabbed a 1.5-game lead over the Tigers coming into the series. They were able to take 2-of-3 against the Twins earlier this week, allowing just two runs over the first couple of games, but failed to get the sweep after a big 11-5 loss in 10 innings on Thursday. OF Alex Gordon (.282) did have a homer in the contest and has four long balls in his last eight games.

Two young guns will be on the bump for this matchup as 24-year old LHP T.J. House (2-3, 4.18 ERA) goes head-to-head with 25-year old LHP Danny Duffy (8-11, 2.47 ERA) of the host Royals. The road has not been kind to the Indians as they are a woeful 29-39 (.426) after Thursday while Kansas City is a solid 35-30 (.538) in front of their fans.

Overall in the past three seasons, the Royals hold a 26-24 edge against their division rivals and have pulled out five victories in six tries against them at home this year. Amazingly, 32 of their 47 games in the past three years have gone over the total; including 8-of-13 in 2014. In their last series, the teams combined for 11 homers in four contests as Kansas City won three times.

T.J. House has been a solid option for the big league club this year as they search for consistent starters. He has never been a top prospect in the minors, but has always showed consistency. In his 14 games (13 starts) with the Indians, House has been unlucky with batters hitting .344 BABIP as he has allowed 1.01 homers per nine innings. His 6.7 K/9 are decent, but he can by no means be considered a strikeout pitcher. Cleveland is 7-3 in House’s last 10 starts, but he has been able to go six plus innings just three times over those outings. He wasn’t able to get out of the fifth inning against the White Sox in his last start (August 26th) as he gave up five runs on seven hits while striking out four batters (1 walk).

He earned a win against the Royals in his only time facing them while allowing three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts (0 walks). DH Billy Butler is the only player on Kansas City who has multiple hits against House (2-for-3) while OF Lorenzo Cain is the only person with an extra-base hit (1-for-3, 1 double). Meanwhile, SS Alcides Escobar was 0-for-3 in the matchup with a strikeout.

Cleveland’s bullpen has been phenomenal and is 30-17 (.638) with a 2.79 ERA (1.18 WHIP) while successfully converting 32-of-48 (67%) saves coming into this series. Cody Allen (1.71 ERA, 18 saves) has been phenomenal in the closers role and has struck out 12.0 batters per nine innings while going 18-for-19 (95%) in his save chances.

Danny Duffy is finally living up to his potential and ranks third in the AL with his 2.47 ERA while putting up a tremendous 1.07 WHIP (6th in AL). The youngster has lost some of his strikeout ability (6.8 K/9 in 2014) as he attempts to harness his control but has seen his walk rate (3.1 BB/9) drop more than two walks per nine since last year. He has been very lucky, though, as batters are hitting an extremely low .231 BABIP on the season, but he has given up a mere 10 homers in 134.2 innings (0.67 HR/9). The Royals have come away victors in six of Duffy’s last seven starts as he has given up one or fewer runs in five of those games.

He’s faced the Indians five times (4 starts) in his career while going 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA (1.38 WHIP) and has had 28 strikeouts in 25.1 IP. OF Michael Brantley (4-for-10, 1 RBI) and 1B Carlos Santana (5-for-13, 1 HR, 2 RBI) have seen the ball well out of Duffy’s hands while 3B Lonnie Chisenhall and OF David Murphy are hitless between them in eight at-bats with four strikeouts.

Coming into this series, the Royals’ bullpen is 24-13 (.649) with a 3.50 ERA (1.27 WHIP) and are an amazing 42-for-51 (82%) in saves. They have not done as well at home, though, with a bloated 4.33 ERA (1.38 WHIP). Greg Holland (1.72 ERA, 40 saves) is one of the elite closers in baseball and has blown a meager two saves on the year while striking out 12.6 batters per nine innings.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 31

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

Welcome back, Hyun-jin Ryu. The timing for baseball’s road warrior to come off the disabled list couldn’t have been better because the Dodgers are on the verge of being swept at San Diego for the first time since 2010.

After a bullpen session Wednesday, Ryu showed no signs of aggravation from a strained glute muscle that has kept him out of the starting rotation since Aug. 14. While he’s been gone the Dodgers have tried to make the best of things behind the likes of Roberto Hernandez and Kevin Correia, but today they are looking at losing three straight.

Meanwhile, the Giants have won five straight, as they have made easy work of the NL Central-leading Brewers the past two nights. What looked to be a cake-walk for the Dodgers in the NL West is now getting a little dicey, as the Giants trail them by 2.5 games.

The Padres come into this afternoon's game on a four-game win streak (19-7 in last 26 at home) and have won the last three in extra-innings. Prior to taking the first two in this series, the Padres had lost nine of 13 from the bullies up north. They’ve been pitching well, not making mistakes, and while they’re still not hitting, they’ve brought the Dodgers down to their level. With runners in scoring position during the first two games, the Dodgers went 1-for-15. Ouch!

Ryu might not be able to help out the Dodgers' bats, but he can do his best to limit runs. He has a great situation working for him today: In four starts against the Padres, he’s 3-0 with a 0.71 ERA. He’s also going for a major-league best 10th road victory of the season.

Ryu comes in as a -140 favorite over Eric Stults with a total set at 7 runs. Generally, siding with a pitcher coming off the DL is not a good practice, but because Ryu’s injury didn’t involve his arm, there’s less skepticism here.

In addition to siding with the Dodgers, this game has UNDER written all over it. The Dodgers have gone 10-4-1 to the UNDER in their past 15 road games while the Padres have gone 13-4-1 to the UNDER in Stults' last 18 starts.

Shoemaker taking over

I do like the Angels to complete the sweep of the A's behind Matt Shoemaker, who has evolved into the Angels’ best pitcher, but I‘m personally not betting it because that series has busted me up all season, just like the Yankees-Red Sox. Shoemaker's rise into a dominant pitcher couldn’t have come at a better time after the Angels lost Garrett Richards for the season. Just when quite a few talking heads were writing off the Angels’ chances when Richards went down, they have gone 8-3 since the injury and are on the verge of sweeping the A’s. Shoemaker has won his past three starts and hasn’t allowed a run in his past two.

Royal June repeat

Remember when the Royals won 10 straight in June to briefly take over first place in the AL Central, only to lose their next four and seven of nine? Well, we might be seeing something similar as we head toward September. The Royals are currently on a three-game losing streak, which has brought the Tigers back into a first-place tie. After winning 24 of 30, the Royals now have lost five of seven.

The Indians have been doing the damage lately to Kansas City and have won 13 of their past 18 games overall to pull themselves only 3.5-games back behind the Tigers and Royals. Tonight Cleveland goes for a sweep in Kansas City. One team can taste the thrill of victory and has momentum building; the other is just trying not to lose and repeat what happened in June. The Indians roll makes them a live dog tonight at +156.

Sunday selections:

Pirates (Liriano) -120 vs. Reds
Pirates/Reds UNDER 6.5 (-105)
Cubs (Wood) +160 at Cardinals
Dodgers (Ryu) -140 at Padres
Dodgers/Padres UNDER 7 (-105)
Tigers (Porcello) -119 at White Sox
Indians (House) +156 at Royals

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