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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, August 21
MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, August 21
MLB Betting News and Notes
David Ortiz, Boston - Ques Thurs
Ortiz was taken out of Wednesday's game due to general soreness and is questionable to play Thursday against the Angels.
Carlos Beltran, NY Yankees - Out Thurs
Beltran received a cortisone shot in his right elbow and will miss his second straight game on Thursday against the Astros.
West coast pitcher dominating opponent
The San Diego Padres have found no success against Zack Greinke since he has joined the Los Angeles Dodgers. In Greinke's past five starts against the Padres, the Dodgers are undefeated.
Greinke has given up only 15 hits and six runs during those starts against the Padres. All those games have gone under, with an average combined score of 4.2.
De La Rosa surprisingly strong for totals bettors
Rubby De La Rosa has been a strong play for under bettors this season. The Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 2-8-2 in De La Rosa's 12 starts this season.
De La Rosa has only given up an average of 2.5 runs per game.
Hottest road pitcher takes the mound
Corey Kluber will take the mound for the Cleveland Indians on an incredible road streak. The Indians are 6-0 in Kluber's last six road starts.
Kluber has only allowed six runs in those starts while striking out 47.
Astros continue to roll versus Yankees
There has not been much to cheer about for Astros' fans this season, but the club has performed admirably well versus the New York Yankees. The 'Stros are 4-1 in their last five games versus the Yanks and will look to finish a three-game sweep at Yankee Stadium Thursday afternoon.
Houston won the first game 7-4 and the second game 5-2 and are being tabbed as +157 underdogs for the series finale.
Dallas Keuchel is scheduled to get the start for the Astros, while Brandon McCarthy gets his turn for the home team.
This pitcher's road starts a boon for Under bettors
The Under is red-hot 6-0 in Cleveland Indians' ace Corey Kluber's previous six road outings heading into Thursday's start at the Minnesota Twins.
Kluber's Under streak on the road has come against the Boston Red Sox (3-2 win, 8.5 total), Arizona Diamondbacks (6-1 win, 8), Los Angeles Dodgers (1-0 loss, 7), Detroit Tigers (6-2 win, 8.5), Kansas City Royals (2-1 loss, 7) and New York Yankees (3-0 win, 7.5).
Oddsmakers have placed a total of 7 for the afternoon game.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, August 21
Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
Braves at Reds
ATL: Teheran (11-9, 3.06 ERA)
CIN: Holmberg (0-0, 16.88 ERA)
Previous series recap: In spite of last night’s 3-2 loss at Pittsburgh, the Braves have won five of their past six games. Atlanta grabbed two of three at PNC Park, which included scoring 18 runs in the two victories as a heavy underdog. The Reds wrapped up a horrific road trip by getting swept at St. Louis, as Cincinnati lost the first two contests in walk-off fashion. On Wednesday, Cincinnati was routed at Busch Stadium, 7-3, cashing the ‘over’ six times during the seven-game trip at Colorado and St. Louis.
What to watch for: The Braves pulled off a three-game sweep of the Reds at Turner Field in late April, which included two victories by one run. Atlanta has lost three of Julio Teheran’s last four road starts, while tossing eight scoreless innings in a 1-0 triumph over Cincinnati in the series finale back in April. The Reds have dropped four of their past five home series openers, while Cincinnati owns a dreadful 3-9 record as a home underdog this season.
Angels at Red Sox
LAA: Shoemaker (11-4, 3.84 ERA)
BOS: De La Rosa (4-4, 3.79 ERA)
Series recap: The Angels have captured the first three games of this series, as Los Angeles erased a 3-0 deficit in Wednesday’s 8-3 blowout of Boston as -120 favorites. The Halos overcame the loss of ace Garrett Richards to a left patellar injury when he attempted to cover first base on a play in the second inning, as the right-hander will likely miss the rest of the season (and postseason).
What to watch for: The last time the Red Sox beat the Angels came back on August 10 in Anaheim, as Rubby De La Rosa scattered five hits and one earned run in a 3-1 victory as a +140 underdog. Boston has not been a good team to back when avoiding a home sweep, posting an 0-5 record in this situation. Last night’s high-scoring affair snapped a six-game ‘under’ streak for the Angels, while L.A. is 1-4 in five opportunities to sweep a road series of at least three games this season.
Giants at Cubs
SF: Bumgarner (13-9, 3.14 ERA)
CHC: Wood (7-10, 4.86 ERA)
Series recap: The Cubs thought they had won the first game of this series, 2-0 in just five innings on Tuesday night. A storm came through Wrigley Field and after a 4 ½-hour delay, the game was called in Chicago’s favor. However, the Giants filed a protest and the game will be resumed this afternoon, which is key for San Francisco’s chances at the playoffs. San Francisco came out on Wednesday swinging the hot bats, scoring four early runs in an 8-3 rout of Chicago as -130 road favorites, as Jake Peavy won his first road start in 11 tries.
What to watch for: The Giants have put together an 8-2 record this season when Madison Bumgarner starts in role of a road favorite, with both losses coming at Colorado. The Cubs are 5-3 in Travis Wood’s last eight starts as a home underdog, while winning at San Francisco last August as a +130 road underdog, 2-1. San Francisco has dropped four of its past five games against left-handed starting pitchers, while posting a 1-5 mark in its previous six road series finales.
Padres at Dodgers
SD: Ross (11-11, 2.70 ERA)
LAD: Kershaw (14-3, 1.86 ERA)
Series recap: These two teams have split the first two games of this series, as the Padres took care of the Dodgers on Wednesday, 4-1 as +125 underdogs. Los Angeles overcame a 3-0 deficit in the series opener on Tuesday, 8-6 as a short favorite, as the Dodgers are 4-2 in six home contests against the Padres this season.
What to watch for: The Dodgers lost with Clayton Kershaw for the first time in 14 starts in his previous appearance against Milwaukee as a -185 home favorite, 3-2, in spite of the ace tossing a complete game. The Padres have found a way to have some success against Kershaw since last season, going 3-2, including a pair of wins at Dodger Stadium as a +200 underdog or higher. San Diego owns a 2-6 record in Tyson Ross’ eight starts as a road underdog, which includes a 1-0 defeat at Chavez Ravine in mid-July.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, August 21
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
LAS VEGAS -- The Angels, racking up wins in seven of their past eight games, have the best record in baseball and a 1.5-game lead over Oakland in the AL West, but they were dealt a major blow Wednesday when ace Garrett Richards injured his knee and may miss the rest of the season.
Without Richards, the Angels rotation would look the least formidable of any in the AL playoffs, and the series prices would reflect it by about 35 cents.
In reality, the Angels have been quite fortunate by having to use only six starters all season. Up to this point, their rotation has been relatively healthy with the exception of Tyler Skaggs. Now, big-money pitchers like Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson are going to have to take their game up a notch. Hector Santiago will have to dig deeper, and tonight’s starter Matt Shoemaker will also have be better.
Shoemaker (11-4, 3.84 ERA) has unexpectedly turned himself into a valuable part of the Angels rotation. For bettors, he’s been the second most profitable Angels starter this season, as the team has gone 10-4 (+6.0 units) behind him (Richards is +10.5 units). That’s some pretty good stuff for a rookie who started his season out of the bullpen.
Shoemaker is 5-1 with a 5.18 ERA in six road starts this season. The high ERA comes almost exclusively from a June start at Kansas City, where he gave up eight runs in four innings. In two road starts since then, he’s given up just two earned runs in each. And for whatever reason, the Angels’ bats like to mash when he’s on the mound – they’ve averaged 9.5 runs a game in his six road starts.
The Red Sox have lost four straight and a loss tonight would mark the sixth time this season they’ve been swept at home. Boston hasn’t resisted in the final game of a home series all season when on the verge of being swept.
If the Angels win tonight, it would be their first four-game sweep at Fenway Park since 1962, the second year of the Angels franchise behind the likes of Dean Chance and Bo Belinsky.
The pressure to be even better might be too much down the road for Shoemaker, but the Red Sox are bad enough right now, and he gets plenty of run support on the road, so laying -122 against Rubby De La Rosa (4-4, 3.79) is attractive.
Kershaw starts tonight
Zack Greinke was originally scheduled to start tonight at home against the Padres, but because of a sore elbow, he was given an extra day’s rest, and tomorrow’s scheduled starter, Clayton Kershaw, was moved up to today. Kershaw, who took the loss Saturday against Milwaukee, is still on his regular rest.
Usually when a stud pitcher like Greinke is scratched, you’ll see a long reliever take over or a call-up take the place in the rotation. To see the best pitcher in the game get the nod was a surprise.
The scratch is another quick example of how respected Kershaw is in Las Vegas. Greinke was -160 over the Padres’ best pitcher, Tyson Ross, but after the scratch, the adjusted price with Kershaw jumped 50 cents to -210. And bettors still thought it was cheap, betting it up to -220.
The Padres have lost all three of Ross’ starts against the Dodgers this season, even though he’s allowed only six combined runs over them. All three of the games stayed UNDER, and in Kershaw’s only appearance against the Padres on July 10, he won 2-1 (the total was 6 runs).
The Dodgers are 14-8 all-time against the Padres when Kershaw pitches, but bettors would still be down -2 units if backing him in all of them because he’s priced so high.
Look for a great pitching battle tonight and don’t be afraid to bet UNDER 5.5 runs. Yes, that’s right, a 5.5 is on the board and for good reason.
Angels( Shoemaker) -122 at Red Sox, 7:10 p.m. ET
Cubs (Wood) +150 vs. Giants, 8:05 p.m. ET
Padres/Dodgers UNDER 5.5 (-105), 10:10 p.m. ET